Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: SaD Esports vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Swiss Stage Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90dd9fde05b980b5dedb376d7f4b221b6640e51681b75448c2fdb34203e9c062
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Division Oneof SaD Esports, Division One
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,143 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5489…1633backed SaD Esports | 5c | 2,360$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.64 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Division One | 28c | 377.87$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.31 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SaD Esports | 77c | 294.43$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.24 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Division One | 55c | 262.47$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.18 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked SaD Esports | 80c | 118.26$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.33 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f2…687cbacked SaD Esports | 42c | 116.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed SaD Esports | 45c | 110.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Division One | 58c | 93.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed SaD Esports | 79c | 93$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Division One | 76c | 92.7$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Division One | 61c | 75.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…323ebacked SaD Esports | 19c | 75.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked SaD Esports | 69c | 68.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed SaD Esports | 31c | 52.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked SaD Esports | 46c | 48.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…3c81backed SaD Esports | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked SaD Esports | 39c | 38.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed SaD Esports | 54c | 37.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe36b…64f4backed SaD Esports | 65c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed Division One | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Division One | 67c | 29.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed SaD Esports | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed SaD Esports | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.