NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa50445f5728c1b720de8ea5cbe74fae05c3cb6b630461f0f4cdbbc0f063f3e72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Heat, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,341,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,341,026 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,712 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 57c | 130,138$73,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,404.93 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Heat | 45c | 109,492$49,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,538.49 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Rockets | 57c | 100,022$57,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,010.45 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Rockets | 63c | 87,365$54,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,599.41 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Rockets | 56c | 64,208$35,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,473.79 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Heat | 43c | 63,284$27,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,212 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Heat | 46c | 52,456$23,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,977.92 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Rockets | 59c | 50,925$30,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,667.34 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets | 57c | 48,546$27,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,110.13 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Heat | 44c | 46,405$20,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,418.39 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Rockets | 56c | 45,000$25,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,800 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Heat | 43c | 40,929$17,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,660.59 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Heat | 43c | 30,000$12,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,900 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heat | 48c | 28,550$13,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,778.15 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…d939backed Heat | 44c | 27,930$12,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,365.66 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 56c | 27,719$15,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,307.38 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Heat | 43c | 27,596$11,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,866.28 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Rockets | 58c | 27,189$15,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,328.05 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Heat | 49c | 25,126$12,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,260.42 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…7ce0backed Rockets | 55c | 23,800$13,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,709.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Rockets | 54c | 23,737$12,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,919 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 44c | 23,357$10,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,284.22 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rockets | 56c | 22,836$12,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,933.64 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Heat | 23c | 22,836$5,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,186.68 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Heat | 44c | 22,500$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,899.86 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets | 53c | 22,392$11,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,505.7 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec8…50f7backed Rockets | 74c | 22,122$16,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,721.12 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Rockets | 43c | 21,984$9,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,613.75 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Rockets | 56c | 21,473$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,472.91 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Rockets | 57c | 21,154$11,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,172.45 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Rockets | 33c | 19,952$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,451.89 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Rockets | 55c | 19,686$10,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,793.61 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Heat | 69c | 19,442$13,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,324.65 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Rockets | 55c | 19,250$10,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,615.34 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Rockets | 55c | 17,773$9,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,054.52 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Rockets | 20c | 17,033$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,632.82 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Rockets | 55c | 16,949$9,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,626.97 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d7…1252backed Rockets | 65c | 16,881$10,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,920.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heat | 39c | 16,397$6,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,431.19 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Heat | 44c | 16,364$7,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,183.55 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Heat | 44c | 15,943$7,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,015.12 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets | 57c | 15,306$8,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,546.61 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…6f65backed Heat | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,749.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Heat | 44c | 14,983$6,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,592.35 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…1395backed Rockets | 48c | 14,251$6,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,361.45 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +8.4wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Heat | 43c | 14,023$6,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,029.79 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…163cbacked Rockets | 57c | 13,800$7,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,958 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Heat | 42c | 13,572$5,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,711.75 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 54c | 13,440$7,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,125.89 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd8…7f1abacked Heat | 43c | 12,610$5,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,422.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…e626backed Heat | 57c | 12,262$7,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,009.69 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 44c | 12,012$5,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,271.66 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Rockets | 55c | 11,950$6,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,377.46 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Heat | 47c | 10,746$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Heat | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Heat | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…a27abacked Heat | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…3acabacked Heat | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Heat | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Heat | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.98 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Heat | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.97 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…ee57backed Heat | 39c | 9,636$3,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,729.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…0516backed Heat | 20c | 9,500$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.78 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Rockets | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.99 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Heat | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.95 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d7…5866backed Heat | 43c | 8,770$3,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,771.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…cd88backed Rockets | 29c | 8,518$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,019.64 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Heat | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34c6…3637backed Rockets | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,439.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa115…6c5abacked Rockets | 61c | 7,949$4,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.03 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…b3aabacked Heat | 45c | 7,300$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4870…85f7backed Rockets | 55c | 7,300$4,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,285 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…e17dbacked Rockets | 55c | 7,300$4,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,285 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ab…506dbacked Heat | 45c | 7,300$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,284.95 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Rockets | 49c | 6,970$3,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,580.64 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Rockets | 57c | 6,956$3,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.08 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Rockets | 69c | 6,595$4,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.73 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2a42backed Heat | 34c | 6,581$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.64 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat | 58c | 6,517$3,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,785.31 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heat | 57c | 6,499$3,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,714.24 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fd…4c1dbacked Heat | 46c | 6,096$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 50c | 6,094$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.68 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Heat | 46c | 6,000$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Heat | 2c | 6,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Rockets | 53c | 5,692$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.76 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9948…47e7backed Heat | 18c | 5,581$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Heat | 59c | 5,439$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,216.01 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe501…5c4fbacked Heat | 43c | 5,307$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…26a0backed Rockets | 55c | 5,300$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.98 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…0e0fbacked Heat | 43c | 5,280$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Rockets | 53c | 5,274$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.56 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e32…e86bbacked Heat | 45c | 5,200$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Rockets | 64c | 5,132$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.94 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 45c | 5,020$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.91 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Heat | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…6bc7backed Rockets | 55c | 4,909$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.09 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…85a2backed Heat | 45c | 4,800$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf848…ce44backed Rockets | 55c | 4,700$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Rockets | 55c | 4,555$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.36 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Heat | 44c | 4,548$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.51 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Rocketsthis page
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Heat vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Heat vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.