NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd46e6202bb63a3280b43d5fce641d2a73eb9f1671f2702076a72fe85eb562d58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Rockets, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $304,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,068 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Heat | 49c | 56,145$27,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,463.22 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Rockets | 49c | 28,345$13,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,888.96 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 50c | 20,977$10,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,487.36 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 52c | 14,030$7,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,741.36 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Heat | 49c | 13,299$6,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,736.13 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Heat | 50c | 12,796$6,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,398.11 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 50c | 12,253$6,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,139.45 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 50c | 11,502$5,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,770.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…d939backed Heat | 50c | 11,200$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Rockets | 49c | 10,338$5,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,062.04 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 52c | 9,834$5,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,733.13 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Rockets | 50c | 7,998$3,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,987.71 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Heat | 51c | 6,896$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.08 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…a74abacked Rockets | 54c | 6,565$3,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.93 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets | 49c | 6,309$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.47 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Rockets | 49c | 6,117$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.33 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Heat | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Rockets | 50c | 5,828$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Heat | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets | 50c | 4,844$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.51 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rockets | 51c | 4,334$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.24 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Rockets | 52c | 3,808$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.06 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Heat | 49c | 3,689$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.31 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Rockets | 50c | 3,580$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Heat | 51c | 3,580$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc540…f7e5backed Rockets | 51c | 3,399$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf388…1ebabacked Rockets | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf052…9ef1backed Heat | 51c | 2,978$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…7c44backed Rockets | 49c | 2,968$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets | 50c | 2,879$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.89 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8d…1289backed Heat | 51c | 2,839$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x858a…f574backed Heat | 51c | 2,831$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fd…77a6backed Rockets | 49c | 2,803$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce9…b733backed Heat | 51c | 2,720$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…5196backed Heat | 51c | 2,671$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69e…d0edbacked Rockets | 49c | 2,551$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fb…8190backed Rockets | 49c | 2,542$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3294…6021backed Rockets | 49c | 2,533$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Rockets | 49c | 2,363$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fe…340abacked Heat | 51c | 2,358$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d67…af7dbacked Rockets | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +156%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 48c | 2,152$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Heat | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Rockets | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Rockets | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.98 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…31acbacked Rockets | 51c | 1,852$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Rockets | 49c | 1,514$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.17 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Heat | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.59 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Rockets | 56c | 1,429$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.22 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb86…9efdbacked Heat | 49c | 1,302$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Rockets | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Rockets | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Heat | 52c | 963.42$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.42 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Heat | 52c | 936.01$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.76 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Rockets | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Rockets | 52c | 902.85$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.51 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rockets | 51c | 890$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.9 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Heat | 49c | 851.95$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.92 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe40…3b91backed Heat | 49c | 790$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Rockets | 42c | 718.05$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Rockets | 52c | 697.31$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.6 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Rockets | 49c | 663.66$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.19 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Rockets | 50c | 640$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…03fabacked Rockets | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockets | 49c | 600.07$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.01 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Heat | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…3898backed Rockets | 35c | 574.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8b…95e3backed Heat | 52c | 499.85$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.93 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 50c | 496$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Rockets | 50c | 479.93$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.97 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Heat | 51c | 433.58$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.46 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Rockets | 46c | 421.62$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.26 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…6c1abacked Rockets | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Heat | 51c | 407.52$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Rockets | 50c | 380$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat | 50c | 358.73$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.88 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b15…2a05backed Rockets | 50c | 322$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Heat | 51c | 317.22$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.24 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Heat | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Heat | 52c | 288$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.24 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Rockets | 49c | 279$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.71 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Heat | 53c | 254.72$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.72 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Heat | 51c | 249.9$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.45 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Rockets | 48c | 247.45$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.77 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…4bf9backed Rockets | 51c | 240$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Heat | 50c | 232.4$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Heat | 50c | 208.18$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Heat | 47c | 202.55$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.35 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Heat | 51c | 202.48$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.21 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2c…bb26backed Rockets | 49c | 202$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Rockets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Heat | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed Heat | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Rockets | 52c | 194.37$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x432f…0b4cbacked Rockets | 50c | 173$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…1da7backed Heat | 50c | 173$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Rockets | 52c | 167$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.84 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Rockets | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Rockets | 50c | 154.41$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Heat | 46c | 151$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.54 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)this page
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Heat vs. RocketsRockets won
- Heat vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Heat vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.