NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f9f479b18a1e1b75e02c4ea6c7ad4a79e92772945d1d4cdd5e12c9465f6923b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Rockets, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $633,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $633,703 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Heat | 48c | 488,618$234,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254,441.71 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Rockets | 52c | 150,000$78,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Rockets | 52c | 150,000$78,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,000 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Rockets | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets | 52c | 58,628$30,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,578.09 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Rockets | 53c | 15,943$8,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,450.03 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Rockets | 50c | 15,876$7,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,937.89 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…d939backed Heat | 46c | 10,435$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,634.78 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Heat | 47c | 10,337$4,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,478.46 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 53c | 10,010$5,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,351.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 49c | 8,821$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,481.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0865…3dffbacked Rockets | 53c | 7,958$4,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,217.88 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Heat | 47c | 6,942$3,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,686.82 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Rockets | 54c | 6,500$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Rockets | 54c | 4,774$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Rockets | 53c | 4,762$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.45 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 50c | 4,450$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.69 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Heat | 45c | 3,660$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Heat | 52c | 3,554$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.76 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Heat | 47c | 2,757$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.14 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Rockets | 54c | 2,705$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.96 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 46c | 2,634$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.79 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Heat | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…c48fbacked Heat | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 47c | 1,333$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.26 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Rockets | 53c | 1,288$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.64 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets | 54c | 999.63$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Rockets | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Rockets | 58c | 859.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Heat | 42c | 846.25$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.29 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Heat | 50c | 753.78$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.89 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Rockets | 53c | 750$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Rockets | 54c | 730$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.2 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Rockets | 53c | 683.64$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.33 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Rockets | 28c | 607.2$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Rockets | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 50c | 573.98$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.84 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Rockets | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Rockets | 51c | 538$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.86 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Rockets | 56c | 473.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.43 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Rockets | 53c | 470$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.1 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…09eebacked Rockets | 19c | 459.61$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 45c | 430.11$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Rockets | 47c | 406.17$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.55 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Rockets | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heat | 50c | 397.76$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.88 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Rockets | 45c | 332.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Heat | 45c | 322.45$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.35 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Rockets | 53c | 314.62$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.19 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Rockets | 54c | 310.17$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Rockets | 53c | 306.4$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.39 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Rockets | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 280 | 58.2%163 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Rockets | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Rockets | 54c | 288.89$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Rockets | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…536fbacked Rockets | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Heat | 47c | 274.58$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.11 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Rockets | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Rockets | 53c | 268$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.04 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Heat | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Rockets | 47c | 201.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…92bebacked Rockets | 53c | 195$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Rockets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…989abacked Rockets | 54c | 177.78$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c52…5859backed Rockets | 48c | 175.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2c…bb26backed Rockets | 53c | 171.1$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.68 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Rockets | 54c | 169.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…2274backed Heat | 48c | 169$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Rockets | 53c | 165.37$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…f16cbacked Heat | 48c | 156$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Rockets | 53c | 155.94$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Rockets | 53c | 154.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed Heat | 48c | 151.53$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Heat | 46c | 151$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.54 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3a…2477backed Heat | 46c | 151$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.54 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Rockets | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Rockets | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Heat | 50c | 149.02$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Rockets | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Rockets | 54c | 148$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Rockets | 53c | 146.01$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Rockets | 54c | 144.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…f9e3backed Rockets | 54c | 144.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…0951backed Rockets | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…8ddabacked Heat | 62c | 135$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 51 | 80.4%41 W · 10 L | +9.7wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +33%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Rockets | 53c | 134$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Heat | 45c | 130.43$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…4679backed Heat | 68c | 124.29$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Rockets | 53c | 120.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Rockets | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Heat | 47c | 119$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Heat | 47c | 115$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a4…65c3backed Rockets | 54c | 115$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Rockets | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Heat | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Heat | 49c | 105.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…651fbacked Heat | 46c | 101.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x364b…f9bebacked Rockets | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Rockets | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Heat | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)this page
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Heat vs. RocketsRockets won
- Heat vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Heat vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.