TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heatof Rockets, Heat
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$633,703

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $633,703 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Heat48c488,618$234,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254,441.7187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Rockets52c150,000$78,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,00026253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Rockets52c150,000$78,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,00066248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Rockets52c100,000$52,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,0002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets52c58,628$30,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,578.094,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Rockets53c15,943$8,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,450.035658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Rockets50c15,876$7,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,937.8937539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c86…d939backed Heat46c10,435$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,634.785655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Heat47c10,337$4,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,478.4612045%54 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets53c10,010$5,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,351.989,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Heat49c8,821$4,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,481.248,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0865…3dffbacked Rockets53c7,958$4,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,217.883751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Heat47c6,942$3,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,686.821,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Rockets54c6,500$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5108153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Rockets54c4,774$2,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5781,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Rockets53c4,762$2,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,536.4517050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Heat50c4,450$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.694,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Heat45c3,660$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0139629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Heat52c3,554$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.762,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Heat47c2,757$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.142,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Rockets54c2,705$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.969553.7%51 W · 44 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Heat46c2,634$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.794,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Heat47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.6618448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7f4…c48fbacked Heat47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.665147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Heat47c1,333$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.264,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Rockets53c1,288$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.6420647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets54c999.63$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5373,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Rockets54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Rockets58c859.35$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Heat42c846.25$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.291,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Heat50c753.78$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.892,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Rockets53c750$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.543544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Rockets54c730$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.226839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Rockets53c683.64$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.3315849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Rockets28c607.2$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16711855.1%65 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Rockets54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3246434.4%22 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heat50c573.98$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.845,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Rockets54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Rockets51c538$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.8689853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Rockets56c473.98$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.4391050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Rockets53c470$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.120846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Rockets19c459.61$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8810656.6%60 W · 46 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Heat45c430.11$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.55,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Rockets47c406.17$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.5515038%57 W · 93 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Rockets52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heat50c397.76$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.881,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Rockets45c332.35$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15029040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Heat45c322.45$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.351,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Rockets53c314.62$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.1978648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Rockets54c310.17$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16618055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Rockets53c306.4$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3958450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Rockets55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16528058.2%163 W · 117 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Rockets52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15610645.3%48 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Rockets54c288.89$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15621550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Rockets54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c9b…536fbacked Rockets54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Heat47c274.58$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.1195047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Rockets55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15065349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Rockets53c268$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0445646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Heat45c250$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Rockets47c201.85$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.521,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x540f…92bebacked Rockets53c195$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.356445.3%29 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Rockets54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9a…989abacked Rockets54c177.78$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c52…5859backed Rockets48c175.44$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.213026.7%8 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-47.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcb2c…bb26backed Rockets53c171.1$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.682138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Rockets54c169.76$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6718250%91 W · 91 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0603…2274backed Heat48c169$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Rockets53c165.37$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8815253.3%81 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…f16cbacked Heat48c156$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Rockets53c155.94$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8315453.2%82 W · 72 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Rockets53c154.16$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8213751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Heat48c151.53$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.46342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Heat46c151$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.546653%35 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce3a…2477backed Heat46c151$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.543756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Rockets53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.54358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Rockets53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.553945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Heat50c149.02$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5191846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Rockets54c148.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8062450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Rockets54c148$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9213950.4%70 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Rockets53c146.01$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.399455.3%52 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Rockets54c144.44$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7821753%115 W · 102 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd8…f9e3backed Rockets54c144.44$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d73…0951backed Rockets54c138.89$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…8ddabacked Heat62c135$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.745180.4%41 W · 10 L+9.7wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+33%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Rockets53c134$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0256547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Heat45c130.43$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7476552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b81…4679backed Heat68c124.29$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.813455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Rockets53c120.75$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6447852.9%253 W · 225 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Rockets53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.636045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked Heat47c119$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.072657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Heat47c115$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9544747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a4…65c3backed Rockets54c115$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.17256.9%41 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x641f…049abacked Rockets53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018054.4%98 W · 82 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Heat47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3853453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Heat49c105.51$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.271,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf824…651fbacked Heat46c101.72$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.935250%26 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x364b…f9bebacked Rockets54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Rockets47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Heat47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.