TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,370

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,370 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c14,252$7,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,264.929,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c7,034$3,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5171,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c4,578$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,492.844,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c4,024$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,043.861,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over57c3,322$1,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.743,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under54c2,916$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.214,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under55c2,877$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.251,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Over45c2,392$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.7611243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over51c2,287$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.8942348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9604456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over48c1,875$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9752,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over48c1,650$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.6624847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under21c1,507$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.328,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over49c1,061$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.3118241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under56c1,026$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.2265349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over45c1,020$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.391,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Over44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5608653.5%46 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over56c920.48$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.0158953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under13c850.65$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6126839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41684342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over78c728$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.1665872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c692.98$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.632,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over56c599.21$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.651,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over45c468.81$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.7558450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Over56c441.18$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.127948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Under55c427.76$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2722154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over46c425$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.562744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Over45c423.98$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.1917644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under53c356$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.681,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Under56c330$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.2813155%72 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over48c305.45$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8476249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over48c269.23$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1403,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under52c269.23$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14053149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under16c241$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5627937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over56c232.38$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2471654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over45c230.67$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.532,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Under31c212.71$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1315038%57 W · 93 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c182.8$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.063,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6c5…01d0backed Over46c179$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8042853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1629…8510backed Under50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010249%50 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over56c142.47$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6918052.2%94 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over55c131.39$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.112,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under55c129.5$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5195047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Under55c127.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Under53c115.11$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6119851%101 W · 97 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5533949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Under55c97.67$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.726342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over45c95$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3123651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under51c92.14$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9591746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over55c90.48$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.141,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd362…1f2ebacked Under54c87$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb2c…bb26backed Over44c85.88$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.092138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over65c82.74$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0890357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under33c79.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.271,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c74.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.692,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b7…6f17backed Over79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.29560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over68c61$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.521,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over46c58.87$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9787049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Over44c51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5612250.8%62 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8187…abd8backed Under54c51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.54520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked Over47c45.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.766058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over46c44.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.964844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcae…80ebbacked Under54c41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over55c40.53$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.241,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.72,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over47c38.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.354854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over48c38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.951,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed54…b090backed Under55c36.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over69c33.69$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.431,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under52c31.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.331,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Over54c30.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9613954%75 W · 64 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x257b…c08bbacked Under54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c25.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.833,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Over44c25.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2514443.1%62 W · 82 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under47c25.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.793,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Under51c21.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9818345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeed1…0d39backed Under56c21.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.777650%38 W · 38 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c20.93$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.95,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027251.1%139 W · 133 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over70c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.11,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.