NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x920a4c92231e6e455db21754d00441171fedf3a3250d54f099f39fb45e6bf9a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,997 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Over | 46c | 7,440$3,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,982.51 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 6,915$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675.7 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 4,240$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.38 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Over | 50c | 3,400$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 2,499$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.38 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.32 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 2,035$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.24 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 47c | 1,916$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.48 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,563$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 52c | 1,289$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.05 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 50c | 1,195$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.56 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 1,180$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.67 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Over | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.66 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Under | 51c | 998$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.98 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 46c | 799.99$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Over | 48c | 688.31$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.92 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 54c | 556.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 523.36$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.93 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Under | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 53c | 443.91$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.27 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 428.8$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.26 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 16c | 418.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 36c | 253.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.49 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Under | 52c | 247$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.44 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…faffbacked Under | 53c | 206.12$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.24 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 189.15$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Under | 54c | 163$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 52c | 161.56$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Under | 52c | 140$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 128.45$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Over | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Under | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Under | 53c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Under | 53c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 49c | 96.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Under | 54c | 96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 187 | 44.4%83 W · 104 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 49c | 84.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 52c | 84.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 52c | 71.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 54c | 67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked Over | 49c | 58.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…69d6backed Under | 52c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 47c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 48c | 45.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…3a77backed Under | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4175…87a0backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…6807backed Under | 53c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…1a5cbacked Under | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Under | 54c | 33.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…2723backed Over | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 28.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…4745backed Under | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 73c | 26.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 54c | 20.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 54c | 20.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 51c | 20.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5this page
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Heat vs. RocketsRockets won
- Heat vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Heat vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Heat vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.