TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Hawks, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,428,211

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,428,211 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,677 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Pistons58c405,650$233,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233,921.7972648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Pistons36c223,687$80,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,844.211955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Pistons56c202,305$113,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113,290.7316841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hawks43c135,069$58,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,565.142,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Hawks44c108,017$47,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,489.535534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Pistons26c100,219$26,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,51042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Pistons53c82,011$43,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,545.320744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pistons39c81,247$31,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,762.051,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Pistons59c79,877$47,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,127.6343148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pistons56c77,465$43,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,315.8187144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Hawks41c73,029$30,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,802.8517050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons58c71,458$41,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,108.684,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f1…c5f8backed Hawks44c64,800$28,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,287.94862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks48c63,788$30,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,434.514,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Hawks42c63,770$26,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,986.49655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Hawks41c57,644$23,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,009.849053.3%48 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks44c53,400$23,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,9041,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hawks52c52,374$27,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,287.255,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Hawks44c50,824$22,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,594.9116039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Hawks44c46,589$20,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,089.5618151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Hawks43c45,167$19,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,741.6639349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks43c42,727$18,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,154.541,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…5b23backed Hawks41c40,000$16,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,6001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Hawks43c40,000$17,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,799.9929055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pistons17c37,725$6,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,233.611,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hawks43c32,384$13,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,458.921,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Pistons56c31,000$17,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,359.997142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Hawks44c27,998$12,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,678.7320948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ea…9a8cbacked Hawks51c26,235$13,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,815.394153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Hawks44c24,846$10,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,860.1231644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Hawks44c24,500$10,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,719.994447.7%21 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Hawks44c24,331$10,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,735.893554.3%19 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Hawks43c22,908$9,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,051.6728643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons52c22,883$11,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,807.021,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Hawks44c22,132$9,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,393.6935744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Hawks44c20,390$8,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,418.488543.5%37 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7e4…5b5cbacked Hawks54c20,379$10,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,380.921030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-48.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Pistons62c20,047$12,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,453.1634851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Hawks41c18,898$7,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,238.5424744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Hawks39c17,088$6,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,486.7635547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pistons24c16,594$3,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,998.291,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Pistons52c15,506$7,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,993.3450241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Hawks41c15,500$6,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,144.7486641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons48c15,296$7,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,362.351,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Pistons41c15,225$6,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,282.4410252%53 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Pistons56c15,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,40074748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Hawks41c14,332$5,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,487.4143438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pistons56c14,000$7,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,840.081,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hawks59c13,449$7,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,464.92,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Pistons20c12,838$2,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,547.3648845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Hawks41c12,600$5,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,475.9565939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Pistons57c12,542$7,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,089.9441832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Hawks44c12,501$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,000.5611543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd669…46ecbacked Hawks40c12,183$4,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,250.46520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-50.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Hawks43c12,097$5,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,900.157248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons45c12,035$5,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,431.818,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Hawks43c12,000$5,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,8401,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons57c11,547$6,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,565.754,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Hawks43c11,500$4,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,554.881,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Hawks62c10,981$6,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,119.2430157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Hawks42c10,784$4,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,261.097240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Hawks44c10,495$4,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,877.444344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Pistons56c10,400$5,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,82427241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Pistons38c10,047$3,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,788.048345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked Hawks44c10,045$4,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6253455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9e8…731cbacked Hawks40c9,848$3,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,908.917255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Hawks58c9,828$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,127.595036%18 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Hawks44c9,720$4,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,443.218553%98 W · 87 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeba9…694abacked Pistons50c9,700$4,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,85010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe2d…b852backed Hawks50c9,700$4,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pistons52c9,611$5,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,023.552,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x559c…a4d3backed Hawks50c9,600$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa543…6ed7backed Pistons50c9,600$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Hawks77c9,450$7,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,169.8910743%46 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e50…1765backed Hawks48c9,400$4,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa056…d2c8backed Pistons52c9,400$4,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,88810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe61e…f5f7backed Hawks42c9,301$3,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,394.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2cd…a52ebacked Pistons51c9,300$4,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,74310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e4…593bbacked Hawks49c9,300$4,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Pistons22c9,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Pistons56c9,000$5,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,039.9966250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Hawks44c8,989$3,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,033.8424942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea21…99ddbacked Pistons59c8,546$5,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,042.417656.6%43 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hawks79c8,495$6,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.771,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Pistons58c8,120$4,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,696.6862347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8946…aa24backed Hawks44c8,100$3,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,536250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed Hawks42c8,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,64011547%54 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc6…1d96backed Hawks41c7,470$3,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,407.191566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+73.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Hawks41c7,390$3,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,360.3828554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x934e…e7c0backed Hawks42c7,071$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,101.431844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pistons24c6,978$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.971,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Pistons60c6,680$3,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,987.1613946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Pistons24c6,632$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.9546940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Pistons59c6,391$3,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,770.532540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Hawks42c6,355$2,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,685.7612151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hawks42c6,209$2,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,593.32,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Pistons57c6,140$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50026444.7%118 W · 146 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Pistons48c6,062$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,909.7832846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Hawks42c6,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4809159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Pistons58c6,000$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,479.9123348.1%112 W · 121 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.