TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,090

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,090 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x339a…1eaebacked Yes39c2,004$790 inLost-$789.521,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No60c1,263$752 inWon+$511.451,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No62c466.63$289 inWon+$177.9890863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x108c…122dbacked Yes42c284.99$120 inLost-$119.76134.4%21 W · 40 L-10.1wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed No60c220.98$132 inWon+$89.2913950.4%70 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No59c220.35$129 inWon+$91.164,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Yes41c200$82 inLost-$8211050.9%56 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Yes40c195.71$79 inLost-$79.0392058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked No58c150$87 inWon+$6313448.5%65 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff7f…bb30backed No52c149.99$78 inWon+$724637%17 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked No58c130.3$76 inWon+$54.7377549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked No62c130$80 inWon+$49.627074.1%200 W · 70 L+30.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No62c130$80 inWon+$49.695260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc674…1176backed No60c116.29$70 inWon+$46.2650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e85…788bbacked Yes47c113.53$53 inLost-$53.0615651.9%81 W · 75 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No59c97$58 inWon+$39.331,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79b4…c59fbacked No63c88$55 inWon+$32.567569.3%52 W · 23 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e90…188dbacked Yes46c86.75$40 inLost-$40.312744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes40c77.7$31 inLost-$31.1689853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe15f…93d7backed No57c69.99$40 inWon+$30.121672.2%156 W · 60 L+28.6wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed No60c52$31 inWon+$20.833653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5fc…dbc6backed Yes42c47.62$20 inLost-$202532%8 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f39…2e49backed Yes43c46.51$20 inLost-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea34…8efcbacked No62c40.88$25 inWon+$15.5316551.5%85 W · 80 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Yes38c39.97$15 inLost-$15.1930256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93e…96eabacked Yes39c38.01$15 inLost-$14.812949.6%64 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Yes41c37.22$15 inLost-$15.267841%32 W · 46 L-9.0wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Yes49c33$16 inLost-$16.1738736.4%141 W · 246 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No62c31.29$19 inWon+$11.8939265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked No62c29.72$18 inWon+$11.417945.6%36 W · 43 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e68…61eebacked Yes44c27.53$12 inLost-$12450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79ee…dae9backed No58c25.86$15 inWon+$10.864746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de3…b7b1backed No57c19.94$11 inWon+$8.645100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No62c16.13$10 inWon+$6.1397049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.