TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,453

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,453 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Over75c45,117$33,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,472.814,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under25c18,463$4,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,615.8756646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under25c18,452$4,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,613.0276054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under25c9,372$2,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,342.8819954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb716…61febacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over61c2,026$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.0460444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over76c1,285$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.358,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under45c1,244$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.82,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under50c1,136$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56870246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ec…d96fbacked Under50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ebb…50cfbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Over53c999.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47012251.6%63 W · 59 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb405…d977backed Under50c900$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Under47c743.25$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35018842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c562.76$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.464,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0867…c3f4backed Under4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020644.7%92 W · 114 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c445.96$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.913,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2102,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over52c326.92$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9262347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under43c313.12$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.642,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c306.62$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.312,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd28…dbf0backed Under51c298.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.494042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x003d…56b3backed Over51c295.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.391361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f79…f7f7backed Under49c266.08$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.059442.6%40 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Over52c264.51$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.4610651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Over58c258.64$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.649546.3%44 W · 51 L-11.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a92…7010backed Under50c219$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b4…673ebacked Under50c218$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b80…198dbacked Over50c215.12$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64bb…a837backed Over50c214.14$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c3…a75cbacked Over50c213.88$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67fe…8e92backed Over50c213.64$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef9…9537backed Under50c212$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2b…3c1ebacked Under50c211$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe191…64afbacked Over50c210.37$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf6…8936backed Under50c209$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee2…c942backed Under50c203$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over49c202.84$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4533150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7d…e3e3backed Over50c200.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10020147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x892d…7459backed Over50c197.86$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5c…2ee3backed Over51c196.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.557444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe399…13bfbacked Under50c196$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c195.88$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.322,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdaa…5a4dbacked Over50c194.63$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3d…f900backed Under49c194$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x126b…60eabacked Over50c193.16$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f6a…94e8backed Under50c193$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb958…7925backed Under50c193$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x993b…ecfbbacked Under46c192$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.237142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4597…7521backed Under48c188$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c77…bcf6backed Over50c182.36$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58c…8b7fbacked Over55c182.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.14738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd0c…bcf4backed Under50c182$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f16…b5b9backed Under26c173.05$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.999938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over52c169.23$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2334854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e4…a3b4backed Under48c164.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under48c156.59$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.868645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91e3…4ee5backed Under48c155$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-63%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c154.47$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.324,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over55c150.15$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.571,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Under47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.513448.5%65 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff7f…bb30backed Under47c149.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.54637%17 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under50c133$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.577549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under47c117.03$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.151,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1629…8510backed Over54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1110249%50 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under37c110$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.72,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33e9…39b0backed Over74c108.32$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.167152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5095548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5047738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Under22c99.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9110718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick18cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over53c99.38$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7169149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over52c98.07$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0749246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Under51c97.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019849%97 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bf…a07cbacked Over53c92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.24837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under26c90$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.490357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dcb…a119backed Over53c77$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Over54c68.67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7210850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under49c68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3223651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under38c66.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.371,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb887…2a69backed Over53c66$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabc3…afc9backed Over51c65$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under44c62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.161,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4638…aa0ebacked Over50c61.79$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.791457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28d2…67f0backed Over52c59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.32580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13b0…2f69backed Over50c56.6$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.33630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Under44c55.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2816242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under47c53.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2593145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under40c47.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.362,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77ae…55c6backed Over53c43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked Over50c42.91$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.467642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under46c42.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5978648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d7…c1e8backed Over54c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.86580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+48.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under47c40.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1487453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over51c38.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0517250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over73c38.51$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5929848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x131d…42e4backed Over53c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.39475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+40.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Over53c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9287950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43f5…8932backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+43.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c35.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.091,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.