TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Pistons, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,219,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,219,807 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 441 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Pistons51c275,629$141,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,857.2572648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Hawks48c89,600$43,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,591.8722453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e6b…5076backed Hawks48c68,135$32,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,430.2650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons51c60,575$31,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,060.621,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Pistons50c54,980$27,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,49037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Hawks49c49,907$24,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,574.526648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe19…eeb9backed Hawks48c43,774$21,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,762.51520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pistons49c42,830$20,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,986.6587144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Pistons52c41,532$21,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,596.8760351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85d…8599backed Pistons52c39,671$20,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,628.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Hawks51c39,406$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,405.828452.4%44 W · 40 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28f4…2f50backed Pistons52c37,614$19,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,559.2830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons50c34,395$17,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,197.354,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Hawks50c33,495$16,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,747.518151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb02b…fe87backed Pistons52c32,397$16,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,846.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa729…9326backed Hawks48c27,238$13,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,163.764949%24 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons51c25,707$13,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,124.311,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Hawks47c22,332$10,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,835.8929351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…c7b9backed Hawks48c21,938$10,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,407.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc127…d9fbbacked Pistons52c20,621$10,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,722.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks48c20,512$9,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,666.411,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23b6…3eeebacked Pistons52c20,300$10,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,5563046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Hawks50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00020758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Pistons51c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,199.9717250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23ff…b3c1backed Pistons52c19,648$10,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,216.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Hawks49c18,735$9,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,574.721,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e6f…c022backed Pistons52c18,138$9,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,431.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x412c…97d3backed Pistons52c17,327$9,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,010.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Hawks49c16,824$8,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,580.2431643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Hawks49c16,643$8,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,487.8634854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5792…d1d6backed Pistons52c16,296$8,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,473.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0936…6c02backed Hawks48c16,283$7,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4775341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks49c15,480$7,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,890.554,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad95…ce80backed Hawks48c15,102$7,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,853.04580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+46.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a3…5213backed Hawks48c14,411$6,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,493.72580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+46.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60c5…1c09backed Hawks48c14,134$6,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,349.68862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Hawks49c13,849$6,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,062.9849246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Hawks48c13,610$6,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,077.5826544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Pistons29c13,573$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.8710252%53 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb53…6438backed Hawks48c12,730$6,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,619.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks50c12,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Hawks49c11,428$5,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,824.311335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Hawks49c11,220$5,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,726.448546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Pistons53c10,920$5,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,753.065341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Hawks49c10,176$4,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,196.0241649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Hawks50c10,046$5,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,02325049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Pistons50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Pistons51c9,818$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9964944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Pistons52c9,800$5,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,09628241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Pistons53c8,926$4,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7271,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Hawks50c8,530$4,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,224.035754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Hawks50c8,405$4,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,240.6515141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa136…ea3cbacked Hawks48c8,307$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,307.353941%16 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Hawks49c8,239$4,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,201.7816249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks48c8,090$3,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,211.16,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8df8…8b3dbacked Hawks49c8,063$3,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,112.27475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+61.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons51c7,983$4,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,071.321,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks50c7,500$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Hawks50c7,419$3,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,709.3124744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Hawks50c7,284$3,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6427451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Hawks50c7,200$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,60017850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hawks65c6,787$4,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,363.522,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Hawks49c6,757$3,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,446.1424847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks67c6,498$4,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.248,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hawks50c6,438$3,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,197.282,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Hawks50c6,309$3,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,154.4682442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Hawks48c6,240$2,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,244.7128554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43ea…57d4backed Hawks48c6,237$2,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,243.39757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f4…c48fbacked Hawks49c6,224$3,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,190.325147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6734…2e18backed Hawks49c6,122$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.457459.5%44 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Pistons54c5,778$3,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,110.1817348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe397…7f5dbacked Hawks49c5,714$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,914.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks50c5,698$2,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,859.651,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f5…dc5dbacked Hawks49c5,600$2,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4267…9834backed Hawks49c5,600$2,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,856333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x657a…0ae4backed Hawks49c5,600$2,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bee…05acbacked Hawks49c5,600$2,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…3fbdbacked Hawks49c5,514$2,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,812.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Hawks49c5,510$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,810.218349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Hawks49c5,499$2,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,804.689952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Hawks49c5,437$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,787.517349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hawks49c5,429$2,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,758.92,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aed…3b61backed Hawks49c5,314$2,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,710.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5bb…495cbacked Hawks49c5,227$2,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,665.631741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Hawks49c5,132$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,631.813750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x934e…e7c0backed Hawks49c5,114$2,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,608.291844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0588…1845backed Hawks49c4,765$2,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,429.951435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Pistons51c4,235$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.7612945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Hawks50c4,154$2,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,07718241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1439…00debacked Hawks48c4,140$1,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,152.81070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+35.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Hawks49c4,084$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.6520843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Pistons52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Hawks49c3,924$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.349352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Hawks49c3,878$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.5514251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32dd…c881backed Hawks50c3,519$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pistons51c3,070$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.961,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Pistons53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.9869149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57f…4d74backed Hawks49c2,971$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.432871.4%20 W · 8 L+5.9wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+40.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Hawks50c2,900$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4507458.1%43 W · 31 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe900…14cdbacked Hawks48c2,879$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.172277.3%17 W · 5 L+6.1wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+54.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.