NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fcbd4577befa10a6d8a40b962c347c82156bbf50616567eca44240bb4499be6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Pistons, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $538,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $538,714 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pistons | 47c | 171,037$81,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,032.11 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Pistons | 47c | 127,177$59,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,652.58 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks | 53c | 95,029$50,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,580.92 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Pistons | 48c | 34,899$16,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,747.52 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hawks | 53c | 34,393$18,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,261.54 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Hawks | 52c | 23,456$12,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,258.81 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…9fbfbacked Hawks | 53c | 22,642$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,641.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Hawks | 52c | 16,108$8,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,738.77 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Hawks | 53c | 13,386$7,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,287.07 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Hawks | 53c | 13,319$7,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,260.11 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons | 47c | 13,231$6,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,206.17 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pistons | 45c | 13,144$5,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,914.67 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Hawks | 53c | 12,167$6,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,752.15 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5945…67cabacked Hawks | 52c | 11,453$5,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,497.44 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons | 48c | 10,544$5,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,059 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks | 59c | 10,050$5,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,136.87 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61e…f5f7backed Hawks | 52c | 9,875$5,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,739.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Hawks | 52c | 9,627$5,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,620.92 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Hawks | 51c | 8,723$4,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,269.14 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…ea3cbacked Hawks | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.31 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Hawks | 52c | 7,547$3,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,622.56 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Pistons | 20c | 7,412$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.65 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Hawks | 53c | 7,376$3,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466.63 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Hawks | 52c | 7,247$3,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,478.56 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 60c | 6,538$3,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640.12 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Hawks | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Hawks | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…4d74backed Hawks | 53c | 5,384$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.93 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Hawks | 53c | 5,283$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.02 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks | 52c | 5,264$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.72 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe028…89bfbacked Hawks | 51c | 4,935$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Hawks | 53c | 4,484$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.55 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Hawks | 53c | 4,387$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.79 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa57d…611cbacked Pistons | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Hawks | 53c | 4,344$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.6 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…6312backed Hawks | 53c | 4,222$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.41 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Pistons | 50c | 4,018$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Pistons | 46c | 3,782$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…53f9backed Hawks | 53c | 3,773$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…a759backed Pistons | 47c | 3,773$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks | 53c | 3,769$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.55 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Hawks | 53c | 3,498$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.09 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Pistons | 48c | 3,490$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.12 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hawks | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Hawks | 52c | 3,057$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.52 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hawks | 65c | 2,801$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.7 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Hawks | 53c | 2,717$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.98 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hawks | 72c | 2,634$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.68 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed Pistons | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.8 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Hawks | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Hawks | 53c | 2,217$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.98 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Hawks | 54c | 2,175$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.71 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pistons | 48c | 2,091$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Pistons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Hawks | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pistons | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons | 45c | 1,903$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.29 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Pistons | 49c | 1,720$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.93 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Hawks | 53c | 1,566$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.02 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Pistons | 50c | 1,526$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.47 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Hawks | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Hawks | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.75 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pistons | 43c | 1,307$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.62 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Hawks | 51c | 1,288$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.98 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pistons | 47c | 1,279$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.1 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Hawks | 53c | 1,227$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.36 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Hawks | 53c | 1,221$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.75 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a51abacked Pistons | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Hawks | 53c | 1,095$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.85 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Hawks | 58c | 1,059$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.78 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Hawks | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Pistons | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Hawks | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hawks | 54c | 992.84$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.42 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Pistons | 47c | 976.06$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.75 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Pistons | 46c | 969.34$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.9 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Hawks | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Hawks | 54c | 924.07$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.07 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Pistons | 48c | 872.44$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.77 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Pistons | 41c | 835.26$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.39 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Hawks | 52c | 800$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Pistons | 49c | 783.83$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.54 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Pistons | 49c | 757.43$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.08 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d00…95b2backed Hawks | 52c | 735.4$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Hawks | 67c | 688.01$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.69 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 48c | 688$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.19 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks | 54c | 639.52$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.54 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Hawks | 52c | 615.26$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.32 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Hawks | 53c | 613.21$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.21 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Pistons | 48c | 599.98$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Pistons | 49c | 581$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.63 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…c48fbacked Hawks | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac8…9e67backed Hawks | 53c | 556$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.32 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Hawks | 53c | 554.86$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.78 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hawks | 51c | 534.47$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.89 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c6…564dbacked Pistons | 49c | 512.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Hawks | 52c | 500$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.33 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Pistons | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawks | 52c | 498$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.04 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Hawks | 54c | 478$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.88 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Hawks won
- Hawks vs. PistonsHawks won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 238.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 240.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 242.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 244.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 245.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 247.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 248.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 249.5Over won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Hawks (-12.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Hawks (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Hawks won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.