TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,995 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbff9…009dbacked Under31c3,354$1,049 inLost-$1,049.1427052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over77c2,131$1,644 inWon+$487.0865872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c1,715$857 inWon+$857.331,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c1,386$691 inLost-$691.454,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec1…bfa6backed Over80c499$399 inWon+$99.84266.7%28 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over71c303.79$215 inWon+$88.658,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over66c299.99$198 inWon+$10216159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under34c275.75$94 inLost-$93.762,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c240.34$125 inLost-$124.984,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under49c209.79$102 inLost-$102.341,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0867…c3f4backed Under12c200$24 inLost-$2420644.7%92 W · 114 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over48c150.15$72 inWon+$78.081,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over48c137.22$66 inWon+$71.3528348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under52c125$65 inLost-$6550351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c116.24$56 inWon+$60.443,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over49c116.08$56 inWon+$59.583,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over76c111$84 inWon+$26.641,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over67c104.48$70 inWon+$34.4895452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Under52c100$52 inLost-$5242348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over80c94.9$76 inWon+$19.122,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under54c94$51 inLost-$50.7634247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Over48c80$38 inWon+$41.622942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under19c70.49$13 inLost-$13.231,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under19c66.61$13 inLost-$12.9656447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under48c56.23$27 inLost-$26.8242153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e5e…13bebacked Over50c54$27 inWon+$271361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over57c44.1$25 inWon+$18.871,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over55c38.94$22 inWon+$17.4136949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf43…306abacked Under52c30.77$16 inLost-$162962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over72c27.39$20 inWon+$7.7657250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over54c25.72$14 inWon+$11.8329848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Over47c21.28$10 inWon+$11.289244.6%41 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under53c20.8$11 inLost-$11.041,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c54…476dbacked Under53c20$11 inLost-$10.63253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Over56c19.99$11 inWon+$8.939055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc816…7a20backed Over73c16.44$12 inWon+$4.449552.6%50 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Over75c16$12 inWon+$416948.5%82 W · 87 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.