TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,937

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,937 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xadfa…324ebacked Under49c12,000$5,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,879.999159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c8,309$4,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,071.331,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa136…ea3cbacked Over51c5,882$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.353941%16 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over51c3,921$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.8426648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e2d…c099backed Under50c2,987$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f1b…ad4fbacked Under50c2,905$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ab5…40cbbacked Under50c2,885$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a61…7383backed Over50c2,885$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4c…3534backed Over50c2,885$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a6…3d2ebacked Over50c2,883$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf685…fab4backed Over50c2,859$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fef…5852backed Under50c2,807$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bbe…9b2abacked Over50c2,777$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbf…304fbacked Under50c2,749$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a58…4aa7backed Over50c2,665$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe167…a6a1backed Under50c2,611$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8da4…eb96backed Under50c2,569$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7bd…8ccfbacked Over50c2,545$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d20…b959backed Over50c2,543$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01ea…6323backed Under50c2,541$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa54…ed1ebacked Under50c2,525$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf995…41acbacked Over50c2,499$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb063…55f9backed Under50c2,491$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7fc…1a18backed Over50c2,491$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c2,486$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.794,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f6…f7e8backed Under50c2,479$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x214f…8b7ebacked Over50c2,477$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b7e…d839backed Over50c2,469$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef9d…0ababacked Over50c2,449$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeca6…aaf7backed Under50c2,393$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e55…41aabacked Under50c2,381$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87a6…00aebacked Under50c2,362$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b57…9c76backed Over50c2,359$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d67…4bf7backed Under50c2,353$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x960a…5917backed Under50c2,295$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…b2f3backed Over50c2,289$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b2…6b88backed Under50c2,241$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa7…aa68backed Under50c2,159$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x143c…ed57backed Over50c2,101$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6f9…9709backed Over50c2,089$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under48c2,082$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd13f…9c6cbacked Under50c2,067$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d2d…92c6backed Over50c2,047$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd8a…97aabacked Over50c1,993$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…ebd2backed Under50c1,982$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52a3…9826backed Over50c1,980$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7814251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bee…249ebacked Under50c1,959$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb08d…0825backed Over50c1,937$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d6…3ab8backed Under50c1,904$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf145…475fbacked Under50c1,858$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b27…6f45backed Under50c1,819$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8734…9f6cbacked Under50c1,818$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Over53c1,713$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.164658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdb3…e8bcbacked Over50c1,632$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8163100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a7f…f96bbacked Over50c1,589$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8db8…7000backed Over50c1,524$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7623100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda7a…163ebacked Over50c1,478$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ba…bc73backed Under50c1,473$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e0…3e4fbacked Under50c1,470$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa11f…410dbacked Over50c1,366$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe579…4720backed Over50c1,353$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x279b…84debacked Over50c1,347$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa716…205abacked Under50c1,327$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07a6…dd36backed Over50c1,325$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bf5…2767backed Under50c1,298$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa03e…8091backed Over50c1,273$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88a8…23dbbacked Under50c1,206$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b4…6675backed Over50c1,174$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b4c…1a34backed Over50c1,144$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8167…cc4dbacked Over50c1,093$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.54100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7914…f9a3backed Over50c1,078$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5394100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37b7…a234backed Over50c1,058$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over51c1,044$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.5625049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69f6…7e26backed Under50c1,036$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4308…1b13backed Under50c1,036$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2567…6af0backed Under50c988$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24a6…5ab0backed Under50c968$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa57d…611cbacked Over51c882.35$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.352055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over56c750$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c729.93$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.175,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed Over51c686.27$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.2710849.1%53 W · 55 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460e…d3ebbacked Under48c672.51$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.17944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c624.14$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.451,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a22…e85bbacked Over50c551$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under36c406.33$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.381,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over55c362.65$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1916347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c344.03$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.571,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14119435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over52c285.62$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.383,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9f3…4ef5backed Under36c275.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8be1…8b8bbacked Under50c265$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under16c230.61$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8427937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x4045…3307backed Under50c216$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a2d…733cbacked Over51c205$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under51c179.16$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.652,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under50c174$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8762744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Over51c164$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3610349.5%51 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.