NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe19511b20d4862f5bbef265eb94e95e8a0dc26f99627b5f0f9e1a3e26c22037
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,794 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 53c | 25,707$13,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,166.23 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6e…48e6backed Under | 50c | 11,872$5,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,927.22 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Under | 48c | 5,472$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.56 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 50c | 3,900$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.03 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 3,871$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.6 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Over | 50c | 3,294$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.8 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 3,137$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.32 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 2,924$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 48c | 2,856$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.88 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 1,735$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.85 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 1,609$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.46 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 1,432$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 76c | 1,069$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.22 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 964$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Under | 48c | 960.9$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.23 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Over | 49c | 850$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.5 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 783.74$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.13 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 48c | 594.38$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.3 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 561.22$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.25 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 71c | 535.21$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.21 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 53c | 369.49$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.66 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 47c | 333.5$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.61 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 331.61$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.14 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…cb21backed Over | 53c | 220.17$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 213.02$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac94…e414backed Under | 48c | 212.77$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.13 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 47c | 189.66$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 47c | 154.35$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 48c | 116.4$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Over | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 50c | 100.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…32b0backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 43c | 92.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 32c | 87.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a4…1d88backed Over | 53c | 77.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Under | 53c | 75.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 51c | 74.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 63.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…3059backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…d9febacked Under | 48c | 60.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…224cbacked Over | 52c | 60.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 62c | 58.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 77c | 52.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 35c | 49.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 61c | 44.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 48c | 42.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 61c | 42.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Over | 56c | 42.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Under | 32c | 41.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | -18.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 41c | 39.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over | 53c | 38.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 28.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…ce1dbacked Over | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…065abacked Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Over | 51c | 24.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…8a76backed Over | 53c | 24.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Under | 48c | 21.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 201 | 40.3%81 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Hawks won
- Hawks vs. PistonsHawks won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 238.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 240.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 242.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 244.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 245.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 247.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 248.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 249.5Over won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Hawks (-12.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Hawks (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Hawks won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.