NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a94f7cde06cee95128d12bc1c3703933d1dcd55f0e40826e28c05cfef75808d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Sabres, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $673,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $673,311 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 640 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Ducks | 49c | 119,851$58,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,285.92 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Sabres | 51c | 51,250$26,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,137.5 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Ducks | 48c | 46,037$22,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,034.87 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres | 42c | 38,732$16,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,375.86 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Ducks | 53c | 38,205$20,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,123.74 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sabres | 46c | 20,507$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,499.51 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks | 48c | 18,788$9,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,701.92 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sabres | 48c | 16,509$7,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,844.85 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sabres | 52c | 16,000$8,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,320 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Sabres | 51c | 15,068$7,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,684.63 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Sabres | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sabres | 49c | 11,896$5,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,874.86 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Sabres | 43c | 11,385$4,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,881.88 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Ducks | 49c | 10,015$4,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,147.18 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Ducks | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Ducks | 49c | 9,396$4,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,791.92 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sabres | 51c | 8,176$4,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,169.82 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Ducks | 49c | 8,102$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,132.04 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Sabres | 52c | 7,733$3,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,997.63 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Ducks | 49c | 7,499$3,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.37 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Ducks | 50c | 7,000$3,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sabres | 52c | 6,980$3,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,606.71 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ducks | 57c | 6,353$3,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.81 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Ducks | 49c | 5,813$2,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.15 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Sabres | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Ducks | 51c | 5,643$2,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,765.25 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sabres | 52c | 5,436$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.33 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Sabres | 60c | 5,079$3,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Sabres | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Ducks | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Ducks | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Ducks | 49c | 4,968$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.67 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Ducks | 47c | 4,811$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.66 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Sabres | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sabres | 48c | 4,804$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.06 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Ducks | 47c | 4,750$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.5 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 48c | 4,633$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.09 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Sabres | 48c | 4,403$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.42 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Sabres | 52c | 4,250$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Sabres | 49c | 4,163$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.12 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabres | 67c | 3,903$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.43 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sabres | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ducks | 50c | 3,800$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.16 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Sabres | 52c | 3,784$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.23 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Ducks | 53c | 3,682$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.22 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ducks | 63c | 3,502$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.29 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sabres | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…41f8backed Ducks | 51c | 3,422$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.33 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…da90backed Sabres | 51c | 3,122$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Ducks | 48c | 3,114$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.09 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…9860backed Sabres | 0c | 3,069$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Ducks | 47c | 2,818$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.79 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed Ducks | 50c | 2,801$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.42 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Ducks | 54c | 2,779$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.74 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Sabres | 51c | 2,759$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Ducks | 69c | 2,653$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.14 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Sabres | 28c | 2,638$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.73 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Sabres | 38c | 2,549$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.76 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Ducks | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Sabres | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Ducks | 49c | 2,468$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.69 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Ducks | 48c | 2,305$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.74 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Ducks | 62c | 2,296$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.16 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Ducks | 49c | 2,280$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.66 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Ducks | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.99 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ducks | 49c | 2,133$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.54 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Ducks | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.31 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Sabres | 26c | 1,960$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Sabres | 46c | 1,950$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.99 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Sabres | 51c | 1,949$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Sabres | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Ducks | 49c | 1,866$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.47 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Ducks | 53c | 1,861$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.13 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Ducks | 50c | 1,817$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.48 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Sabres | 51c | 1,805$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.63 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Ducks | 49c | 1,800$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…0c8fbacked Ducks | 53c | 1,708$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Ducks | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.83 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Sabres | 52c | 1,540$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.8 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…41c7backed Ducks | 49c | 1,455$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Sabres | 25c | 1,437$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.34 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Ducks | 49c | 1,399$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.49 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres | 50c | 1,242$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.98 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Ducks | 49c | 1,214$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.41 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Sabres | 11c | 1,156$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.65 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Ducks | 49c | 1,106$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.18 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Ducks | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.66 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Sabres | 52c | 1,041$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.32 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Ducks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Ducks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Sabres | 48c | 972$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.02 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…7dcebacked Sabres | 51c | 970$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.7 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Ducks | 54c | 927.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.47 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b220backed Ducks | 49c | 900$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…4857backed Sabres | 41c | 897.93$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.97 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Ducks | 47c | 890.84$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.39 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Ducks | 52c | 865.19$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.29 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Sabres | 63c | 835.85$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.49 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Sabres | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…9dc1backed Ducks | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 250 | 52.8%132 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Ducksthis page
- Sabres vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.