NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4f9baf50bc2a18c6e7722ea4b57dc1f148426c3611472b4730325d3e09c451e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,489 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 47c | 34,188$16,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,068.51 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 53c | 10,022$5,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,710.34 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…630abacked Over | 53c | 7,986$4,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,753.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 54c | 5,547$2,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.67 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Over | 53c | 5,086$2,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.42 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 4,202$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161b…acc2backed Under | 49c | 3,774$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 3,673$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.89 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 3,570$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.95 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 48c | 3,385$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.35 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 53c | 2,150$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.5 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 51c | 1,851$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.86 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Over | 53c | 1,476$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.72 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…abdfbacked Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 995.99$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.08 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 53c | 653.41$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.72 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Under | 47c | 650$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Over | 53c | 527.5$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.92 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…de36backed Over | 53c | 490.57$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.57 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 468.4$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.15 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…1a19backed Over | 53c | 378.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdee7…5e69backed Over | 53c | 376.26$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.84 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 52c | 357.11$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.37 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…790fbacked Under | 47c | 285.11$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 46c | 281.63$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.55 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 53c | 280$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 54c | 277.18$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.77 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 48c | 250.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…7181backed Under | 48c | 188$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671c…b8f2backed Under | 48c | 186$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…9c3dbacked Over | 52c | 167.43$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…6518backed Under | 48c | 167$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 161.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…4abcbacked Under | 48c | 158$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3128…0d6abacked Under | 48c | 157.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4a…5bc5backed Under | 48c | 157$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9d…b2eebacked Over | 52c | 153.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…b900backed Over | 52c | 152.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 46c | 150.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cf…c211backed Over | 52c | 146.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906e…9547backed Over | 52c | 146.37$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2329…8379backed Over | 52c | 143.08$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ef…8d6ebacked Under | 48c | 138$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0a…ea0abacked Under | 48c | 136$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0ce0backed Over | 52c | 128.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…b379backed Under | 48c | 127.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Under | 48c | 122.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71d…f519backed Under | 48c | 122$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f6…54c4backed Over | 52c | 121.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Under | 48c | 120$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 53c | 112.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf355…5ab7backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +8.5wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 137 | 49.6%68 W · 69 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…aa51backed Over | 53c | 89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f42…0c05backed Over | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 84.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed Over | 53c | 75.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…511ebacked Over | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…c6ccbacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf307…a5bdbacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 58c | 54.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 53c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 55c | 46.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4915…c9c3backed Over | 53c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 66c | 41.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 47c | 36.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 52c | 32.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb182…6c8abacked Over | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c58…f0ffbacked Over | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…f59abacked Over | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Over | 53c | 19.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…1e21backed Over | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5this page
- Sabres vs. DucksDucks won
- Sabres vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.