NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b51d021c60ec92110e2af1a7970923aa1c2ff5dc2baaff0ea11766f427b2797
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Rockets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,343,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,343,240 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,459 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Rockets | 55c | 542,589$300,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300,000 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Timberwolves | 45c | 325,000$146,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178,750 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Rockets | 70c | 198,283$138,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138,210.37 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 16c | 115,328$18,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,981.98 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Rockets | 55c | 100,000$55,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,999.96 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 93,169$48,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,285.77 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 80,558$39,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,331.74 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Timberwolves | 44c | 79,723$35,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,644.85 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Timberwolves | 55c | 52,552$29,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,444.88 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Rockets | 51c | 49,584$25,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,133.34 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 56c | 43,668$24,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,413.84 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 45c | 40,080$17,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,209.86 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Timberwolves | 66c | 40,000$26,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,599.98 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Rockets | 50c | 39,469$19,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,694.73 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves | 47c | 37,025$17,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,444.43 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Rockets | 40c | 36,769$14,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,824.29 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Timberwolves | 47c | 35,583$16,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,858.89 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Timberwolves | 37c | 35,573$13,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,547.78 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Timberwolves | 54c | 34,448$18,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,993.94 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Rockets | 55c | 29,871$16,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,455.37 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 28,675$12,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,919.94 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Rockets | 52c | 28,299$14,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,665.78 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 28,295$12,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,497.29 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 53c | 27,404$14,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,652.75 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 45c | 25,168$11,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,842.29 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Rockets | 52c | 23,211$12,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,069.85 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Rockets | 70c | 21,320$14,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,832.49 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Rockets | 47c | 20,753$9,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,784.94 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Rockets | 55c | 19,989$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…f355backed Rockets | 53c | 19,500$10,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,420 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e6…7ce6backed Timberwolves | 47c | 19,500$9,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,419.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 17,690$8,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,008.14 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 17,309$7,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,346.7 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Rockets | 23c | 17,011$3,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,962.6 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Rockets | 55c | 16,803$9,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,241.65 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Rockets | 53c | 16,504$8,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,747.32 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Rockets | 37c | 16,301$5,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,958.2 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…0ab3backed Rockets | 53c | 15,915$8,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,434.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 15,640$7,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,289.2 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Rockets | 42c | 15,084$6,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,378.41 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Rockets | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Rockets | 52c | 14,999$7,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,829.66 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Timberwolves | 35c | 13,859$4,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,039.29 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Rockets | 53c | 13,140$6,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,964.2 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed Rockets | 53c | 13,113$6,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,979.7 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0287…8a29backed Timberwolves | 45c | 12,514$5,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,845.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Timberwolves | 46c | 12,092$5,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,579.56 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,479.9 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…bbe1backed Timberwolves | 45c | 11,823$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,502.82 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…734dbacked Rockets | 17c | 11,706$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…4530backed Rockets | 45c | 11,642$5,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,204.64 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e4…8e78backed Timberwolves | 47c | 10,591$4,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,655.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 10,546$8,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.48 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…17b0backed Rockets | 79c | 10,334$8,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,145.46 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Timberwolves | 45c | 10,296$4,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,662.8 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Rockets | 50c | 10,093$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Timberwolves | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5a…280bbacked Rockets | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f2…816ebacked Rockets | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 1cpaid | +2,400%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves | 45c | 9,642$4,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,258.98 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.97 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 35c | 8,614$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,607.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Rockets | 55c | 8,578$4,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,697.16 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Rockets | 55c | 8,535$4,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,694.25 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 8,473$5,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.33 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Rockets | 51c | 8,214$4,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,198.77 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Rockets | 45c | 8,183$3,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,682.29 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rockets | 41c | 8,084$3,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,336.83 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 7,536$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,036.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Timberwolves | 46c | 7,469$3,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,033.06 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Rockets | 42c | 7,359$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.78 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Timberwolves | 9c | 7,221$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,604.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Timberwolves | 48c | 7,175$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,730.92 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Rockets | 56c | 7,143$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Rockets | 25c | 6,650$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.11 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Timberwolves | 46c | 6,600$3,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,531.08 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…85b5backed Timberwolves | 55c | 6,446$3,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870.94 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5b…8e29backed Rockets | 46c | 6,360$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.06 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Rockets | 72c | 6,072$4,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,371.64 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Rockets | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.98 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Rockets | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.98 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Timberwolves | 47c | 5,941$2,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148.65 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Timberwolves | 45c | 5,876$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,231.61 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Rockets | 42c | 5,866$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.72 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Timberwolves | 14c | 5,820$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,993.47 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 5,800$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,116.51 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Timberwolves | 26c | 5,732$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,229.93 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Timberwolves | 54c | 5,580$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.16 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Rockets | 50c | 5,490$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.94 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.16 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Timberwolves | 45c | 5,158$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.96 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d96…4bb4backed Rockets | 53c | 5,002$2,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,651.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Timberwolves | 48c | 5,000$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.69 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Rockets | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.98 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Rockets | 80c | 4,955$3,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,963.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Rockets | 48c | 4,913$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Timberwolves | 62c | 4,858$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.98 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Rockets | 51c | 4,830$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486.51 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…59fcbacked Rockets | 53c | 4,668$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab5b…316cbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 4,652$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.41 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.