NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc97419dfaf8832b45a168f6c19816889c1838cf12dbea2392576baaa21f6345e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,358 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 48c | 8,482$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.32 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 1,968$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.64 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 1,958$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.84 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd7…8131backed Under | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.94 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…a033backed Over | 20c | 1,489$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.14 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 1,427$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.65 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 1,354$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.92 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 11c | 1,289$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.28 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Under | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 806.18$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.93 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 52c | 777.21$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.06 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 52c | 625$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Under | 52c | 442.31$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.31 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 46c | 423.12$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.63 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…780cbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 47c | 178.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 48c | 175.02$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Under | 18c | 170.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.16 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Over | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Under | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 52c | 141.92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 44c | 134.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 114.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 55c | 109.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Over | 46c | 105.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 46c | 97.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 88.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under | 26c | 87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 53c | 79.09$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 19c | 77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 54c | 61.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 45c | 60.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 41c | 46.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474f…8ec6backed Under | 55c | 46.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 52c | 46.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcde…dc58backed Over | 46c | 40.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…4d74backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 47c | 35.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 48c | 35.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 66c | 32.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 46c | 31.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 54c | 29.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…d10abacked Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Under | 71c | 25.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b66…dbd1backed Under | 65c | 23.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac3…c2b6backed Over | 47c | 22.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under | 55c | 22.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed Under | 52c | 19.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5this page
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.