TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,811 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under52c5,967$3,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,864.3116547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over48c5,177$2,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,494.981,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5006654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c3,282$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.581,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x918e…bbd2backed Over49c2,948$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4890…6ac9backed Under51c2,933$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x839d…3022backed Over49c2,912$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a4…744abacked Over49c2,882$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b3…ac1cbacked Under51c2,862$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.38450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c48…db5cbacked Under51c2,831$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ef5…4aedbacked Under49c2,802$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.022100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7469…cefdbacked Over49c2,797$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d9…4e8ebacked Over51c2,796$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4994…d4d3backed Under51c2,765$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over48c2,762$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.443,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eaf…c9c2backed Over49c2,761$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x561f…9aa2backed Under51c2,745$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35a0…1889backed Under49c2,738$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd46c…f070backed Under51c2,737$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cd0…70ebbacked Under49c2,699$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d7…579ebacked Under51c2,677$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c2,567$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.782,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44ce…2353backed Under51c2,516$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa70a…be4abacked Over51c2,470$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcdb…5c30backed Over49c2,463$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2751…2b69backed Under49c2,414$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda65…3e84backed Over51c2,411$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51a1…f136backed Over51c2,401$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ea…d221backed Over49c2,383$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1691…b9a3backed Under51c2,347$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.032100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa215…17debacked Under51c2,347$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.032100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf565…d819backed Over51c2,331$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4702…d6bcbacked Over49c2,324$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25b6…53a6backed Over49c2,284$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over34c2,273$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.951,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6073…3b95backed Over49c2,264$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88e8…7f14backed Over49c2,253$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c2,197$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.28,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd53d…043fbacked Over49c2,191$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d6…fca1backed Under51c2,178$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf3b…0230backed Over5c2,103$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004067.5%27 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8649…087abacked Under51c2,085$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d88…04cabacked Under51c2,056$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7378…e23abacked Over49c2,039$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedbd…a551backed Under51c2,039$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.71475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…c2dfbacked Under49c2,006$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04012251.6%63 W · 59 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over48c2,000$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.9287049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447c…767ebacked Under51c1,987$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c1,986$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.593,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9329…f76fbacked Under51c1,956$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce0…6cd8backed Over49c1,942$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab10…1afdbacked Over51c1,918$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x272a…a67fbacked Over51c1,900$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf451…ece8backed Under49c1,895$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.453100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb65c…3c79backed Over49c1,875$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b9b…adeebacked Over51c1,869$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd6…e3f6backed Under51c1,859$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1843…dc21backed Over49c1,859$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b5…9273backed Under49c1,856$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.563100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18d4…cef1backed Under51c1,840$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf032…81f0backed Over49c1,831$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe989…b112backed Over51c1,811$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fee…cde7backed Under49c1,799$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be4…23a8backed Over49c1,775$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.75475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c1,728$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.774,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Over47c1,655$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.9811443.9%50 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…3ff1backed Under51c1,632$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x195a…f646backed Over49c1,555$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe4…d500backed Under51c1,524$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c1,517$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.281,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa185…a6c9backed Under51c1,507$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Over50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.8310251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce88…6081backed Over49c1,493$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c1,468$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.541,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9d2…fe21backed Under51c1,394$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c1,392$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.032,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafad…b9c6backed Under49c1,392$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x890c…d346backed Under49c1,387$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78de…8010backed Over51c1,379$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa75c…0d81backed Under49c1,328$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d34…743ebacked Over49c1,324$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f99…b541backed Over49c1,246$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.9920647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4672…b870backed Under50c1,168$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.553100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc30e…2f0ebacked Over51c1,101$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2219…f398backed Over51c1,097$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…69bbbacked Over49c1,073$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x993c…7704backed Over49c1,048$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Under53c940.61$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.6123850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb743…c116backed Over18c857.72$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.442245.5%10 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c791.22$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.065,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2b…effbbacked Under50c733$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.51450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over7c704$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.722,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over49c677$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.6147436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b9…2b6cbacked Under51c669$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.814100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.