NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa79b027a1b22cc39bbced198c56402776aa6f46b01fa1cb78ed8e7d722c3c24f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,876 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 51c | 25,000$12,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,252.84 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 49c | 16,246$8,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,038.65 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 50c | 10,005$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,002.55 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Over | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 5,402$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.06 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf28…b40ebacked Over | 2c | 5,021$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Over | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 2,329$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.89 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e9…39b0backed Over | 6c | 1,700$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 15c | 1,506$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.81 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 1,329$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.21 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 1,139$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.19 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 40c | 990.49$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.48 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 771.92$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.96 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 6c | 666.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 584.34$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.96 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 25c | 507.03$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 51c | 486.59$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.9 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 50c | 462.39$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.18 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Over | 7c | 428.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 35c | 399.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 33c | 377.96$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.35 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Over | 50c | 333.39$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 21c | 259.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…3076backed Under | 49c | 228$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf95…1213backed Under | 49c | 219$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…8b72backed Over | 53c | 218.61$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…ad12backed Under | 47c | 218$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64bb…125fbacked Under | 49c | 216$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e56…5559backed Over | 51c | 215$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4735…c8b2backed Over | 51c | 211.9$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7796…84f4backed Over | 51c | 211.01$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f6…08f6backed Over | 53c | 210.91$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56c…d2d2backed Over | 51c | 209.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd117…559fbacked Under | 47c | 209$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7310…2b8fbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…ab5bbacked Over | 51c | 208.1$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…40c5backed Under | 47c | 208$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3819…0a3bbacked Over | 53c | 207.39$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba4…0e65backed Under | 49c | 207$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ac…ecb2backed Under | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…f7f7backed Over | 51c | 201.89$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…bae7backed Under | 49c | 201$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1df…11f1backed Over | 51c | 198.53$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eeb…3c13backed Over | 51c | 197.47$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Over | 26c | 194.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…fe78backed Over | 51c | 194$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2611…6429backed Under | 49c | 191$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…bf82backed Over | 51c | 189.47$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3874…1111backed Under | 49c | 189$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf0…1139backed Over | 8c | 187.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4246…6b05backed Over | 51c | 187.53$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5315…0d51backed Under | 49c | 186$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 48c | 184.07$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…6147backed Under | 49c | 181$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Over | 46c | 176.72$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Under | 51c | 175.9$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.9 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Over | 25c | 169.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 51c | 166.93$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 43c | 157.9$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 48c | 150.15$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Over | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 128$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a56…17b0backed Over | 50c | 124$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 48c | 122.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 111.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 51c | 106.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 98.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…fbedbacked Over | 25c | 97.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 51c | 86.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 48c | 86.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 75.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Under | 49c | 72.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Under | 51c | 67.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 51c | 65.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed Under | 48c | 60.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 55.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Over | 25c | 52.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 50c | 48.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 45c | 46.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 43.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 53c | 40.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 50c | 38.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 48c | 37.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5this page
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.