NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a3b9c53dd3ea69524c4a318b9f512eed62de2fa98bf75263b53f99ec14f657d

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $13,666

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,666 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5dd7…8131backed Over	56c	1,252$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Under	49c	842$413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.42	238	50%119 W · 119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	48c	718.04$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.38	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	46c	639.61$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.48	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	46c	629.1$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$341.99	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over	10c	600$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	147	42.2%62 W · 85 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over	38c	599.98$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.99	161	59.6%96 W · 65 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7342…9197backed Over	55c	583.77$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.28	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over	54c	555.56$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	277	46.6%129 W · 148 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	51c	504.7$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.54	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over	50c	436.79$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.92	161	39.8%64 W · 97 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Over	12c	380$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.2	265	30.9%82 W · 183 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	45c	357.16$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.44	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over	53c	306.99$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.7	714	49.3%352 W · 362 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under	46c	217.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.39	249	49%122 W · 127 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	44c	206.59$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.61	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7310…2b8fbacked Over	67c	204.05$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.73	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	51cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	46c	202.6$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.57	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over	52c	195$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.4	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	53c	188.66$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over	53c	164.15$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	96	46.9%45 W · 51 L	-6.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over	51c	161$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.11	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	44c	153.94$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.61	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under	45c	153$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.66	236	51.3%121 W · 115 L	+11.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under	46c	150.15$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.08	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under	45c	138.34$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.66	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	46c	138$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.76	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf25…636dbacked Under	49c	122.87$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.66	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+3.5wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under	57c	122.56$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.79	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under	46c	114.23$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.68	775	49.2%381 W · 394 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Over	11c	113.9$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.43	118	33.9%40 W · 78 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Under	43c	113.83$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.89	210	49.5%104 W · 106 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Over	54c	112$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.48	168	45.2%76 W · 92 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefcb…f64abacked Over	57c	105$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.85	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-7.2wins	-0.17per pick	49cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Over	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	125	58.4%73 W · 52 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…25c0backed Under	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc003…47a8backed Over	55c	94.89$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.11	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Over	22c	88$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.36	160	46.3%74 W · 86 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under	44c	86.19$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.17	172	50.6%87 W · 85 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over	56c	71.79$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Under	47c	63.83$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.83	134	47%63 W · 71 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4175…87a0backed Over	55c	63.64$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	96	52.1%50 W · 46 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over	55c	63.64$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	236	57.2%135 W · 101 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	53c	57.15$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.23	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over	41c	56.84$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.16	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	43c	53.77$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.87	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	355	46.5%165 W · 190 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Over	55c	48.65$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.76	331	59.2%196 W · 135 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over	30c	41.1$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.34	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under	48c	41.01$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.33	492	49.8%245 W · 247 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9985…dad8backed Over	53c	40.51$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.42	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee96…fff6backed Over	53c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Over	52c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	481	46.2%222 W · 259 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29bc…f071backed Over	53c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked Over	56c	38.5$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.56	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1752…682bbacked Over	52c	38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.76	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over	54c	37.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	931	45.8%426 W · 505 L	-25.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over	53c	36.18$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.01	372	53.5%199 W · 173 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	46c	32.87$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.75	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked Over	53c	32.81$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.39	93	46.2%43 W · 50 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over	56c	31$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.36	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Under	47c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	161	50.9%82 W · 79 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under	46c	29.99$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.2	176	43.2%76 W · 100 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Over	55c	29.56$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.26	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	-9.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under	44c	28$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.68	327	52.9%173 W · 154 L	+11.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0310…4745backed Over	54c	27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.58	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Over	52c	27$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	202	49%99 W · 103 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe16…5fa2backed Over	54c	27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.58	64	42.2%27 W · 37 L	-5.5wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b67…642dbacked Over	57c	26.32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	45c	24.89$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.69	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over	52c	23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	367	49.6%182 W · 185 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	56c	20.3$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.01	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	969	56.3%546 W · 423 L	+26.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1566…98f7backed Over	57c	19.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.02	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over	53c	19$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.07	361	53.5%193 W · 168 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5this page
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 16.5No won
Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Julius Randle: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Reed Sheppard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Rockets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
Rockets vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
Rockets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
Rockets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Timberwolves won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event