NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f86882f58ca2486548c1ae87fd3bc7b0664072a503ec8c7b839deed5c66cce9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Rockets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,130 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Rockets | 53c | 44,709$23,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,693.14 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 31,199$14,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,535.52 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 56c | 15,474$8,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,833.83 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Rockets | 38c | 15,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 59c | 12,432$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,115.89 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Rockets | 47c | 10,983$5,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,142.62 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 50c | 8,142$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,071 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 6,657$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,528.02 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 53c | 5,750$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.77 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Timberwolves | 49c | 3,000$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.94 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 2,969$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.12 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…7fb2backed Rockets | 51c | 2,907$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9669…751fbacked Rockets | 51c | 2,892$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…050bbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 2,795$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Rockets | 50c | 2,726$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.96 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…be1dbacked Rockets | 51c | 2,676$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…aaa0backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,595$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa193…1735backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,557$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 2,277$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,193$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.98 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ea…2f82backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,136$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca76…16d7backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,089$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Rockets | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Rockets | 51c | 1,979$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05eb…f59cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,940$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,892$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.5 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…9756backed Rockets | 51c | 1,850$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe51c…d271backed Rockets | 51c | 1,790$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…856cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,750$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3521…46cebacked Rockets | 51c | 1,741$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb94d…0c7ebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,714$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…8056backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,642$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294d…de1fbacked Rockets | 51c | 1,634$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…37c7backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,630$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473d…a270backed Rockets | 51c | 1,561$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…4c87backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa519…546fbacked Rockets | 51c | 1,466$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e1…bbd2backed Rockets | 51c | 1,260$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Rockets | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…e964backed Rockets | 51c | 1,091$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets | 53c | 1,041$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.73 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Rockets | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4469…38bfbacked Rockets | 51c | 992$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 53c | 925.93$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.36 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rockets | 53c | 885$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.05 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 52c | 845$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.34 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves | 62c | 840.64$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.28 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Timberwolves | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa31c…bdf7backed Timberwolves | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rockets | 41c | 735.38$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.14 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Rockets | 42c | 727.62$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.22 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Timberwolves | 49c | 686.74$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.98 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Timberwolves | 47c | 669.59$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.83 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 53c | 632.5$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Timberwolves | 65c | 628.03$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.39 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Rockets | 49c | 615.41$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.55 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Rockets | 53c | 610.41$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.41 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Rockets | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Rockets | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves | 47c | 583.34$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.17 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Rockets | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Rockets | 50c | 524.34$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.25 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Rockets | 51c | 514.49$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.39 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Timberwolves | 48c | 508.85$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.6 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rockets | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Timberwolves | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rockets | 39c | 495.38$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.95 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…3437backed Rockets | 51c | 488$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Rockets | 50c | 430$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Rockets | 37c | 421.81$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.73 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rockets | 50c | 414.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Rockets | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…5081backed Timberwolves | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Rockets | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…0bcdbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Timberwolves | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…cc2ebacked Rockets | 52c | 386.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f5…59c3backed Rockets | 52c | 384$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…1af9backed Timberwolves | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Rockets | 47c | 371.56$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.94 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4747…2987backed Timberwolves | 50c | 342.04$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.04 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Timberwolves | 40c | 337.67$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.69 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Rockets | 38c | 328.26$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Timberwolves | 52c | 317.31$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockets | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Rockets | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked Rockets | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Rockets | 26c | 288.93$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.53 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Rockets | 50c | 270.02$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.01 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Rockets | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb402…42cebacked Rockets | 38c | 253.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…f7f7backed Timberwolves | 49c | 250.47$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.25 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Rockets | 45c | 246.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Rockets | 53c | 239$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.67 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Timberwolves | 49c | 228.57$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.57 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Rockets | 50c | 225$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Rockets | 53c | 216.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Timberwolves | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Timberwolves | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)this page
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.