NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74e77fc999045940760b08d64888b893a592e1a53ecd83f547bcc63f725df928
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Kings, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $502,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $502,648 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 535 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Kings | 53c | 103,307$54,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,551.58 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Flames | 43c | 67,591$29,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,526.88 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Kings | 57c | 65,500$37,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,335 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Flames | 54c | 56,615$30,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,172.73 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flames | 47c | 56,139$26,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,560.13 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Flames | 43c | 50,000$21,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,500 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Kings | 57c | 23,138$13,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,188.54 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Flames | 36c | 22,461$8,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,316.26 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Flames | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,400 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kings | 57c | 19,398$11,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,056.6 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Kings | 56c | 18,968$10,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,621.78 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 44c | 13,675$6,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,658.11 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Kings | 57c | 11,833$6,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,768.64 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Kings | 58c | 10,776$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250.08 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kings | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flames | 42c | 8,981$3,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,209.16 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flames | 16c | 6,316$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,292.89 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings | 57c | 6,095$3,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,474.16 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Kings | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Flames | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.95 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Kings | 57c | 5,709$3,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,227.69 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Flames | 43c | 5,621$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,203.93 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f1…c5f8backed Flames | 44c | 5,400$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 58c | 4,590$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.74 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Kings | 58c | 4,222$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Flames | 42c | 4,200$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Kings | 54c | 4,199$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.47 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Kings | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Flames | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.92 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flames | 43c | 3,888$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.83 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Flames | 43c | 3,612$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked Flames | 42c | 3,495$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.09 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flames | 41c | 3,486$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.26 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Kings | 49c | 3,452$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.31 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Kings | 58c | 3,350$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Flames | 27c | 3,350$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.5 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Flames | 42c | 3,333$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.12 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Kings | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Kings | 54c | 2,621$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.62 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Flames | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flames | 43c | 2,351$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.13 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…a3acbacked Flames | 63c | 2,228$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.8 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61aa…ff6fbacked Flames | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Kings | 56c | 2,189$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.03 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 43c | 2,027$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.22 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked Kings | 58c | 2,010$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flames | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Flames | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78fc…8c88backed Kings | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 75c | 1,936$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.14 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Kings | 78c | 1,907$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.49 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Flames | 45c | 1,900$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.94 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flames | 42c | 1,900$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.96 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flames | 42c | 1,874$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.02 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Kings | 53c | 1,867$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.75 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Flames | 28c | 1,704$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.18 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Flames | 43c | 1,656$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.92 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kings | 57c | 1,555$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.29 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kings | 58c | 1,535$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.83 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Flames | 45c | 1,529$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.17 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 61c | 1,494$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.56 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Kings | 56c | 1,456$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.45 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kings | 57c | 1,392$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.58 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Kings | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Kings | 77c | 1,295$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.4 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd6…ff34backed Flames | 19c | 1,220$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.49 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Kings | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Flames | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Kings | 57c | 1,163$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.91 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Flames | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Kings | 56c | 1,150$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.84 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Flames | 43c | 1,130$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.1 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Kings | 69c | 1,114$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.17 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Flames | 22c | 1,109$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.68 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Flames | 52c | 1,106$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.77 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…9dc1backed Kings | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 250 | 52.8%132 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Flames | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Kings | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Kings | 65c | 999.96$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.98 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Flames | 22c | 983$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.78 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Flames | 39c | 969.37$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.57 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Flames | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Flames | 43c | 870$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.9 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Kings | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Flames | 47c | 859.8$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.39 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…db46backed Kings | 4c | 804.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Kings | 65c | 800$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Flames | 42c | 799.98$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.99 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Flames | 42c | 789.98$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.19 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73b6…4723backed Kings | 58c | 781.5$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.27 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Kings | 57c | 741.01$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.37 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 72c | 701.45$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.63 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Kings | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Kings | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Flames | 44c | 682.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Kings | 68c | 672.87$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.55 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Flames | 22c | 639.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.14 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kings | 68c | 606.16$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.19 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Flames | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Kings | 59c | 567.94$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.84 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Flamesthis page
- Kings vs. Flames: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kings vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kings vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.