TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Flames: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,673

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,673 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c4,933$2,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,515.8185250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over52c3,333$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.1491945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56027547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under48c2,876$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.651452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under48c2,081$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.253647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6757…7ecebacked Over51c1,794$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.93580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+33.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c1,445$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.191,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c960.5$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.4676950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under48c911.87$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.0550251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over51c839$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.8979350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over52c634.62$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33047256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Over52c435.27$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.346262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over51c323.71$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.095757.9%33 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Under47c316.21$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.5983652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over51c313.73$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over46c313.72$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.552,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.335658.9%33 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under48c204$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0853849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Over51c199.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+34.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under48c196.52$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.191,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005337.7%20 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over26c194.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019033.7%64 W · 126 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34c7…b594backed Under48c177$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49fd…9e93backed Under48c177$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d66…8ce3backed Over52c176.52$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab3…5e21backed Under48c172$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f25…74b2backed Over52c171.69$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f5…3bb3backed Over52c170.59$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa862…76e4backed Under48c166.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Under48c166.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.679048.9%44 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked Under48c166.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.675451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c7…0d65backed Over52c161.31$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x021b…2103backed Under48c161$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Under48c157.89$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.117553.1%93 W · 82 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cff…4c21backed Over52c156.41$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42cd…7adabacked Over52c155.66$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c6a…3167backed Over52c154.8$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…e784backed Over52c152.74$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d3e…5841backed Under48c152$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeee7…ef6bbacked Under48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x051c…83a2backed Under48c149$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ee…801cbacked Over52c148.22$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f32…a123backed Over52c148.16$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dba…99c6backed Over52c146.15$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9406…9d10backed Under48c146$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c145.93$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.881,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc84a…8115backed Under48c144$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…f92abacked Under48c143$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd461…9d67backed Under48c143$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87e3…8c53backed Under48c143$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc28…d6fdbacked Over52c142.78$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2c…1e67backed Over52c142.33$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c141.81$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7451550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28d9…cd65backed Under48c139$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc88d…ea72backed Over52c136.85$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd679…e167backed Under48c136$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b96bbacked Over52c134.47$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8171…a076backed Under48c134$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc40c…e968backed Over52c133.84$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa5…e096backed Over52c133.16$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf7…8f96backed Under48c133$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf6f…ec28backed Under48c133$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9015…3d89backed Over52c127.84$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa2d…2d25backed Over52c124.2$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa236…9ea4backed Over52c123.26$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f45…32cdbacked Under48c121$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xded2…82c1backed Under48c121$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd6a…1797backed Under49c105$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5774…07b9backed Over52c105$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5243250.9%220 W · 212 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dab…029dbacked Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Under48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.337552%39 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked Over52c68.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.75735.1%20 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over51c62.37$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.819757.7%56 W · 41 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.622255.9%124 W · 98 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4066…e3c3backed Over51c56.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefcb…f64abacked Under49c56$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.722568%17 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb137…b736backed Under48c55.61$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdef5…fa42backed Under48c53.81$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+57.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaec5…2fb0backed Under48c53.18$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.65580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Over51c50.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267361.6%45 W · 28 L+10.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+29.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf869…0131backed Over53c50.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.862944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under75c49.87$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.543,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Over51c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.996145.9%28 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Under48c45.84$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8422750.7%115 W · 112 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc916…c41ebacked Under48c43.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.564100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+136.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over25c43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.752,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d4…253cbacked Under48c42.86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.294100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+80.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1334…4ab3backed Over53c42.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Under76c42$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.089141.8%38 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb06…e69bbacked Under48c41.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.75475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6720447.1%96 W · 108 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6744…b91bbacked Over53c40.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd72…b03bbacked Over53c40.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacbf…a006backed Over53c39.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over52c39.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7319951.8%103 W · 96 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac63…fb8ebacked Over53c39.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2fb…f46dbacked Over53c36.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.