TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Senators vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senatorsof Senators, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,767,341

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,767,341 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,588 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bec…b215backed Rangers38c450,202$170,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170,074.7716442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Senators62c241,879$150,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,594.1751550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Rangers38c200,000$76,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,000.1422443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Rangers37c150,000$55,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,499.8967051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ebf…3b02backed Senators62c105,000$65,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,650875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+56.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Senators62c80,000$49,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,399.9536748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Senators62c54,946$34,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,740.3447951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Rangers38c50,000$19,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,00048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Senators62c45,000$27,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,1003056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Senators62c38,126$23,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,490.61,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7744…999ebacked Senators62c30,000$18,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,400475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+60.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Senators63c28,850$18,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,720.561950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Senators63c24,438$15,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,152.9610850.9%55 W · 53 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Senators64c20,000$12,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,20016656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3846…9742backed Senators62c20,000$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,600683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f92…1862backed Senators63c16,340$10,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,045.682123.8%5 W · 16 L-6.6wins-0.31per pick55cpaid-57.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x957a…0cf0backed Rangers0c15,056$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Senators62c13,350$8,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0735149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Rangers31c12,174$3,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,735.4527448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Senators62c11,984$7,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,610.3919353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Senators64c11,015$6,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,015.761748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Rangers38c11,000$4,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,18041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Rangers37c11,000$4,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,069.9950049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Senators62c10,583$6,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,003.8745751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Senators63c10,222$6,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,804.3689249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Rangers8c10,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80026551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe262…ac17backed Senators63c9,714$6,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,594.291643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Senators62c9,304$5,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,505.9633652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Senators62c9,258$5,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,518.069254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Senators62c9,100$5,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,45818641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Senators78c8,174$6,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,812.311,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Senators64c8,012$5,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,884.3724945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Senators62c8,000$4,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,04025552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Senators63c7,770$4,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,896.441,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Senators63c7,769$4,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,887.951,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Rangers23c7,752$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.91,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Senators63c7,540$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,789.714954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Senators63c7,200$4,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,67043548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Senators63c7,000$4,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,62560249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Senators62c6,798$4,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,583.2314553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Senators62c6,665$4,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,532.6251045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Senators63c6,349$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.21850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Senators63c6,300$3,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,330.9927850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Senators76c6,129$4,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.521,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Senators63c6,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2201,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers37c6,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.981,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Senators63c5,756$3,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,133.51,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked Senators63c5,397$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,996.834348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Senators63c5,000$3,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,87022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Rangers36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80013946.8%65 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Senators63c5,000$3,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,86030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Senators61c5,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.9625447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Rangers34c4,898$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.2860337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Senators62c4,839$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.8152050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6e…2a01backed Senators63c4,566$2,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.41346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Senators63c4,511$2,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.116262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b6c…f6aabacked Senators63c4,444$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Rangers37c4,100$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.9913446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Senators62c4,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Senators63c4,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,48011553%61 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Senators62c4,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Senators62c3,884$2,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.9224654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2002…de36backed Senators63c3,762$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.92458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3265…34c3backed Senators62c3,333$2,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed Rangers5c3,333$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.761010%1 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Senators63c3,216$2,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.8785250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Rangers16c3,114$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50630259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Senators62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14027243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5a6…0a76backed Senators63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Senators63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1101758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Rangers36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9725446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Rangers12c2,727$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.7933234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Rangers37c2,700$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99986649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Senators62c2,686$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.851,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Senators62c2,641$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.7759450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Rangers36c2,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9744551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Senators62c2,429$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.8891653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed Senators63c2,381$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.956245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc339…ba5bbacked Senators63c2,110$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.527149.3%35 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Rangers38c2,108$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.8948549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Senators62c2,063$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.0545955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Senators62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7602958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Senators62c1,999$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.621,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e7…fb89backed Senators63c1,995$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.151080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f55…7a13backed Senators63c1,995$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.15683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+55.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb6…272bbacked Rangers37c1,995$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.151233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdde6…1374backed Rangers37c1,995$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.15955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5855…70fdbacked Rangers37c1,990$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.31010%1 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick45cpaid-78.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcc5e…2de0backed Senators63c1,990$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.3757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fce…f4cabacked Senators63c1,990$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe13f…8151backed Rangers37c1,990$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae3e…2344backed Rangers37c1,985$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f93…0c72backed Senators63c1,985$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.45742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6566…5085backed Rangers37c1,985$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.451030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46b2…9931backed Senators63c1,985$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.45850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc933…a147backed Senators63c1,985$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.45837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca3b…e25ebacked Rangers37c1,985$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.45850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd446…dfd9backed Senators63c1,980$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ffd…e8fdbacked Rangers37c1,980$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59f0…95bbbacked Rangers37c1,970$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.