TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Canucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ducksof Ducks, Canucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$797,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $797,992 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 689 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Canucks38c271,427$103,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103,556.5767051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Ducks62c99,609$61,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,85861950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Ducks62c84,864$52,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,249.141,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Canucks38c71,997$27,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,358.7210840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Canucks38c45,000$17,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,099.888657%49 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Ducks62c25,800$15,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,8048252.4%43 W · 39 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Ducks62c24,624$15,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,379.3147951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Ducks62c18,060$11,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,862.886852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Ducks62c15,685$9,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,974.991,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Ducks62c15,606$9,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,950.175251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f92…1862backed Ducks62c14,345$8,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,451.162123.8%5 W · 16 L-6.6wins-0.31per pick55cpaid-57.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x759c…5f4bbacked Ducks62c12,962$8,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,925.431050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Ducks62c12,864$7,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,888.329254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Canucks38c11,996$4,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,558.3750049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe61e…f5f7backed Ducks62c11,629$7,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,419.023100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+119.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Ducks62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,80021755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Canucks38c9,994$3,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,797.861,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Ducks61c8,400$5,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,275.9943548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ducks63c8,305$5,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,056.521,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32dd…c881backed Ducks62c8,142$5,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,093.961675%12 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked Ducks62c8,065$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.524348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Ducks61c8,000$4,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.9827850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Ducks61c7,987$4,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,114.9660249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Canucks38c7,878$2,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,994.61,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Ducks61c7,770$4,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,030.2832251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe262…ac17backed Ducks62c7,597$4,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,886.771643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Canucks44c7,453$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3002330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks61c7,152$4,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,796.811,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Ducks62c7,139$4,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,722.6745751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Canucks38c6,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a22…c593backed Ducks62c5,245$3,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02f9…fe42backed Canucks39c5,118$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Canucks40c5,068$2,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,018.7389249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canucks38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9001,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Canucks41c4,976$2,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,043.242,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Ducks65c4,773$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.281266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Canucks52c4,280$2,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,226.821,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Canucks48c4,259$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.613,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Ducks62c4,259$2,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.4212152.1%63 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Ducks62c4,134$2,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.874551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Canucks38c4,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Ducks62c3,898$2,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.3985250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Canucks39c3,333$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.8727547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Canucks54c3,275$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.151,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Canucks38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14019353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Canucks42c2,941$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.289636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Ducks61c2,800$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.9783652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Ducks72c2,630$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.6630259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Ducks62c2,581$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.652343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Canucks32c2,578$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.7127448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x446e…4566backed Ducks62c2,558$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.063100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+101%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05ee…541bbacked Ducks62c2,558$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Ducks61c2,555$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.4591945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Canucks39c2,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97515431.8%49 W · 105 L-12.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Canucks38c2,500$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95031848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Ducks45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.226253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Canucks39c2,222$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.584139%16 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc339…ba5bbacked Ducks62c2,139$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.717149.3%35 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Ducks47c2,130$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.324250%21 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Ducks61c2,099$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.5345955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Ducks61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Ducks70c2,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.288860.2%53 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Ducks61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78020450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Ducks61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.981,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…10f1backed Ducks62c1,931$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.651258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Ducks51c1,865$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.7489355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks44c1,800$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0081,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Ducks65c1,774$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.2137754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Canucks57c1,769$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008852.3%46 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Ducks78c1,754$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39114757.1%84 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Ducks51c1,676$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.7227739.4%109 W · 168 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Canucks35c1,630$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.362657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Ducks61c1,600$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62414954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Ducks61c1,600$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.9945749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Ducks48c1,585$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.488345.8%38 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Ducks63c1,525$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.1313747.4%65 W · 72 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Ducks62c1,518$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.746953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x665c…307bbacked Ducks63c1,512$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.071861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Canucks16c1,432$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9125635.9%92 W · 164 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Ducks74c1,358$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.865563.6%35 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Ducks55c1,340$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.989442.6%40 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Ducks61c1,300$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50760042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Ducks61c1,259$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.0162249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Ducks58c1,259$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.589350.5%47 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Canucks38c1,250$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4751741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Ducks50c1,231$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.811950.4%60 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Ducks55c1,224$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.5118344.8%82 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Ducks62c1,220$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4662157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Ducks63c1,220$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.292352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe93…3638backed Canucks34c1,193$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.762236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Ducks55c1,191$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.352867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ducks61c1,074$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.5699638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Ducks59c1,059$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.386538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Ducks62c1,053$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.1461953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Ducks61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Ducks62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38012947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Ducks77c999.99$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.438849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed Ducks80c994.88$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.981457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Ducks54c977.17$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.6233234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f91…c7dabacked Ducks62c967.74$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.74580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.