TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$413,939

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $413,939 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Over55c274,096$151,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122,315.1667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c196,268$87,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,791.661,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under44c37,776$16,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,621.4421850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over55c25,110$13,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,209.5320354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under45c22,514$10,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,131.1110146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under45c18,083$8,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,179.0559450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over56c17,945$10,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,908.9740351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under44c13,000$5,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7203339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e54…92e0backed Under45c10,925$4,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,916.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40033151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under44c8,000$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5208845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under45c7,482$3,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,366.918641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under44c7,419$3,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,264.551550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over54c6,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,76010650%53 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under47c5,143$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.285250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked Over56c4,444$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.36450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under46c4,391$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016843.5%73 W · 95 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under47c3,345$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.5891945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under44c3,209$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.531,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41027547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4be…a13dbacked Over53c2,758$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.493246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over53c2,751$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.7686649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over54c2,593$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.6639752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Over56c2,567$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.692941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under48c2,519$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.94240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a7a…c0abbacked Over53c2,142$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.78933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c2,133$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.672,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under45c2,039$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.633641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over54c2,001$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.4661953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under46c2,000$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94050251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over56c1,762$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.261,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3449…abdfbacked Over53c1,680$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.794247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over56c1,640$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.761,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over56c1,575$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.197454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c1,539$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.7783149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c1,537$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.1776950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d98…4d2dbacked Over53c1,302$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.852871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Under45c1,221$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.426261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed Over56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4403259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under47c879.62$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.425757.9%33 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Under45c757.14$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.2724346.1%112 W · 131 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c755$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.593,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Over54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.744372.1%31 W · 12 L+7.7wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30053050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x231a…a82fbacked Under45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over54c620$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.9979350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bc…1b77backed Over61c569.13$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.1312258.2%71 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb402…42cebacked Under45c532.4$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.58742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under44c515.76$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.931,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23562346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c4b…8616backed Under45c486.03$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.7217343.4%75 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c468.18$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.3682353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2002…de36backed Over53c452.83$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.832458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under57c437.42$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25025449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Under44c435.19$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.413348.1%64 W · 69 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17611250%56 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over56c396.55$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.7625345.5%115 W · 138 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x003d…56b3backed Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c349.61$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.422,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over58c333.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.081,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c312.16$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.471,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under39c303.8$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.681,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over60c288.61$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5918557.8%107 W · 78 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x687d…e28bbacked Under36c279$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.83348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a3…f319backed Under45c255.59$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.471553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over54c254$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0486852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over53c252$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4431848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over53c247$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3136648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under43c231$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6828340.3%114 W · 169 L-24.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over59c227.64$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.251,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.421,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under47c210.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8822352.9%118 W · 105 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+34.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over53c194.34$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3448552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65f6…8333backed Under39c192.72$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.041643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Over54c190$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.420446.6%95 W · 109 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c6…3520backed Over57c184.77$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.881662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Under47c170.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809048.9%44 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked Over36c166.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.674944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under44c165.34$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7513253%70 W · 62 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Under47c161.29$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8117553.1%93 W · 82 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over52c151.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.132,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over55c148.86$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9910050%50 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc46…a54bbacked Under67c145.45$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.471650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb3c…b4f5backed Over36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.894652.2%24 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Under45c138.79$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4610148.5%49 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over56c134$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9615257.9%88 W · 64 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over52c132.59$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6426750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Under49c128.82$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.427363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over55c118.03$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1114353.1%76 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeadd…4da1backed Under45c116.33$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.351136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9401…38cbbacked Under45c115.27$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.873240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under44c111.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.571,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf89f…32b0backed Under45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f2…a659backed Under45c111.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0811…db7ebacked Over52c101.48$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.721050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Over55c100.66$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.37545.3%34 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.