NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe17875538187fe527a00defeab7fa3533fec2295fedc198609198c209eb984bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Warriors, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,988,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,988,758 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 982 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Warriors | 24c | 208,333$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,999.91 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c6…95c9backed Hawks | 76c | 199,761$151,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,942.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f45…a321backed Warriors | 26c | 110,750$28,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,794.94 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Warriors | 22c | 86,308$19,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,084.2 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 20c | 61,681$12,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,336.29 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hawks | 75c | 59,885$45,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,862.9 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Warriors | 20c | 46,199$9,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,232.7 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks | 67c | 42,787$28,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,103.07 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Warriors | 23c | 37,747$8,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,512.59 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6233…6349backed Hawks | 76c | 36,657$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,657.14 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Hawks | 76c | 33,124$25,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,792.75 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…0e0fbacked Warriors | 22c | 29,150$6,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,513.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Warriors | 23c | 25,124$5,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,849.34 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec8…50f7backed Warriors | 41c | 24,390$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks | 78c | 22,619$17,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,973.98 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 23c | 21,552$5,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,006.36 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…f569backed Warriors | 20c | 20,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Warriors | 24c | 16,391$3,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,907.19 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Hawks | 76c | 16,000$12,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Warriors | 10c | 15,786$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.4 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 75c | 15,606$11,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,885.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Hawks | 79c | 15,309$12,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276.79 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Warriors | 43c | 15,146$6,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,543.11 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1efc…1a6bbacked Warriors | 27c | 14,924$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…0516backed Warriors | 3c | 14,702$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.66 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe749…f660backed Warriors | 22c | 14,348$3,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,171.04 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Warriors | 0c | 14,319$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks | 75c | 14,201$10,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,536.64 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Warriors | 25c | 13,332$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors | 29c | 12,248$3,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,552.05 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4870…85f7backed Warriors | 21c | 12,100$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…b3aabacked Hawks | 79c | 12,099$9,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.85 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 30c | 11,720$3,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,564.64 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Warriors | 23c | 11,710$2,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.4 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Warriors | 17c | 11,697$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.86 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks | 75c | 11,682$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.86 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe501…5c4fbacked Hawks | 74c | 11,580$8,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Hawks | 79c | 11,007$8,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.43 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Warriors | 3c | 10,976$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.83 | 92 | 20.7%19 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hawks | 77c | 10,118$7,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.4 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Hawks | 75c | 10,009$7,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.25 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hawks | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Hawks | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Hawks | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Hawks | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Warriors | 24c | 9,633$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.92 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Warriors | 21c | 9,593$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.6 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Warriors | 22c | 9,472$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.89 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Hawks | 80c | 9,018$7,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.88 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Warriors | 23c | 8,594$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.51 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Warriors | 23c | 8,522$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.86 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…3d75backed Hawks | 80c | 8,517$6,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.4 | 147 | 38.1%56 W · 91 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Hawks | 79c | 7,607$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.77 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Warriors | 26c | 7,520$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.38 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Warriors | 26c | 7,434$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.76 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Warriors | 28c | 7,323$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.44 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 20c | 7,100$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.98 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Warriors | 25c | 7,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Hawks | 65c | 6,835$4,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.16 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Hawks | 62c | 6,723$4,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.74 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 20c | 6,692$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.34 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Warriors | 23c | 6,427$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.07 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…e532backed Hawks | 80c | 6,135$4,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.05 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd839…8fc8backed Warriors | 30c | 5,987$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawks | 74c | 5,967$4,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Warriors | 20c | 5,927$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.49 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Warriors | 26c | 5,924$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.74 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Hawks | 73c | 5,815$4,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.92 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Hawks | 76c | 5,623$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.69 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Warriors | 23c | 5,086$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.51 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Warriors | 26c | 5,085$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.1 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Hawks | 80c | 4,925$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Hawks | 75c | 4,782$3,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.48 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Warriors | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hawks | 79c | 4,738$3,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.24 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Warriors | 29c | 4,566$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Warriors | 0c | 4,565$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b9…0eddbacked Warriors | 27c | 4,550$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Warriors | 33c | 4,500$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc2…b9a2backed Warriors | 19c | 4,400$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed Hawks | 78c | 4,394$3,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…0784backed Warriors | 23c | 4,335$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Hawks | 78c | 4,201$3,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.33 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Warriors | 10c | 4,152$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.23 | 252 | 26.6%67 W · 185 L | -26.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Warriors | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…b277backed Hawks | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e7…0609backed Hawks | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8b…95cbbacked Warriors | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Hawks | 76c | 3,972$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.93 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Warriors | 26c | 3,960$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.52 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc984…195ebacked Warriors | 23c | 3,887$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hawks | 74c | 3,815$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.71 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 24c | 3,551$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.34 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Hawks | 79c | 3,500$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Hawks | 79c | 3,500$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.99 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Hawks | 76c | 3,500$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.95 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Hawks | 78c | 3,427$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.97 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Warriors | 7c | 3,407$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.32 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…3656backed Warriors | 19c | 3,300$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Hawksthis page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-11.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Hawks won
- Warriors vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Warriors vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.