NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x147d2d6366fe47056bc8581c2b9f46cddb62635874292dd66f68f07cc48c771e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $522,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $522,231 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 347 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors | 56c | 32,806$18,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,403.88 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…9326backed Warriors | 48c | 17,000$8,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,160 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 51c | 14,704$7,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,526.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Warriors | 47c | 14,043$6,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,625.3 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks | 44c | 13,011$5,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,266.7 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…3741backed Warriors | 48c | 12,829$6,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,157.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…cfe1backed Warriors | 48c | 11,945$5,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,733.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63f8…0688backed Warriors | 48c | 11,052$5,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,304.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Hawks | 44c | 10,689$4,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,985.83 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd9…34a1backed Warriors | 48c | 10,430$5,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,006.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…0db3backed Warriors | 48c | 10,131$4,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,862.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Hawks | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800.39 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Warriors | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.98 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Warriors | 48c | 10,000$4,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,798.87 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b2…a3b7backed Warriors | 48c | 9,978$4,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,789.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…9235backed Warriors | 48c | 9,788$4,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,698.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…847bbacked Warriors | 48c | 9,784$4,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,696.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26af…b26ebacked Warriors | 48c | 9,607$4,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,611.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d43…d93dbacked Warriors | 48c | 9,600$4,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,608 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Warriors | 52c | 9,522$4,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,980.67 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf37f…666fbacked Warriors | 48c | 9,445$4,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,533.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…6d1cbacked Warriors | 48c | 9,360$4,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,492.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceff…a3d1backed Warriors | 48c | 9,025$4,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,332 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…d928backed Hawks | 52c | 9,013$4,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,326.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…5cb4backed Warriors | 48c | 8,912$4,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,277.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7877…b869backed Hawks | 52c | 8,779$4,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,213.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Hawks | 51c | 8,650$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,205.81 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Hawks | 43c | 8,645$3,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,927.65 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8de…ab92backed Hawks | 52c | 8,536$4,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,097.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ef…ff68backed Warriors | 48c | 8,466$4,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,063.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…e2dbbacked Hawks | 52c | 8,326$4,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,996.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Hawks | 50c | 8,132$4,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048.08 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Warriors | 50c | 7,982$3,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,982.34 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors | 57c | 7,833$4,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,452.88 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…ded4backed Warriors | 48c | 7,708$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Hawks | 43c | 7,360$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,195.2 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Warriors | 48c | 7,334$3,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,517 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb2…7e92backed Warriors | 48c | 6,598$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,167.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fc…cd67backed Hawks | 52c | 6,341$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,043.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…ecdfbacked Warriors | 48c | 5,480$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b4…ed7fbacked Warriors | 48c | 5,375$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb3…33f8backed Warriors | 48c | 5,250$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be0…9f8ebacked Warriors | 48c | 5,129$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…dc9cbacked Warriors | 48c | 5,110$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…f108backed Warriors | 48c | 5,104$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7151…8c97backed Hawks | 52c | 5,006$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…8a51backed Warriors | 48c | 4,991$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a07…cf8abacked Warriors | 48c | 4,981$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7302…d505backed Warriors | 48c | 4,915$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee2…a7eabacked Hawks | 52c | 4,769$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a17…0b81backed Warriors | 48c | 4,677$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a0…b536backed Warriors | 48c | 4,668$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec77…d2f9backed Warriors | 48c | 4,624$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…9c20backed Hawks | 52c | 4,523$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac7…ca8bbacked Warriors | 48c | 4,423$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc38b…fc13backed Warriors | 48c | 4,415$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dac…867dbacked Hawks | 52c | 4,404$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Hawks | 52c | 4,373$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.02 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…4ac3backed Warriors | 48c | 4,194$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df7…ffb1backed Hawks | 52c | 4,173$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…0ee5backed Hawks | 52c | 4,125$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84de…82d4backed Hawks | 52c | 4,083$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Warriors | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.98 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks | 52c | 3,229$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.1 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe473…1057backed Hawks | 52c | 3,077$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…20a0backed Hawks | 52c | 3,076$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.48 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…e971backed Warriors | 47c | 2,971$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed9…5a9abacked Warriors | 47c | 2,899$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bc…a611backed Hawks | 53c | 2,889$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7e…d973backed Hawks | 52c | 2,883$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff0…cdf5backed Hawks | 52c | 2,883$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…20cfbacked Warriors | 47c | 2,882$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Warriors | 48c | 2,791$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.2 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d0…c9a6backed Hawks | 53c | 2,773$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf996…5be2backed Warriors | 48c | 2,750$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8673…9905backed Hawks | 53c | 2,725$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddb…5168backed Hawks | 53c | 2,678$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…d768backed Warriors | 48c | 2,671$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3c…7ac0backed Hawks | 53c | 2,634$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c1…a3b7backed Hawks | 53c | 2,595$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e6…b6c7backed Warriors | 48c | 2,565$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb0…b700backed Warriors | 48c | 2,554$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f66…7a78backed Warriors | 47c | 2,521$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44f…aa4fbacked Warriors | 47c | 2,513$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb28…4534backed Warriors | 47c | 2,508$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…50ffbacked Warriors | 48c | 2,429$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Warriors | 55c | 2,415$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.89 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Hawks | 44c | 2,392$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.67 | 277 | 35%97 W · 180 L | -30.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbec9…b1f6backed Warriors | 48c | 2,369$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1988…54c7backed Warriors | 48c | 2,354$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…5703backed Hawks | 52c | 2,306$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…ed50backed Hawks | 52c | 2,301$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…c5ecbacked Hawks | 52c | 2,297$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35a…791abacked Warriors | 48c | 2,286$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc786…fcd9backed Warriors | 48c | 2,286$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…24f6backed Hawks | 52c | 2,282$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf165…ffb6backed Hawks | 52c | 2,281$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…a724backed Hawks | 52c | 2,280$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3573…c27cbacked Hawks | 52c | 2,277$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-11.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Hawks won
- Warriors vs. HawksHawks won
- Warriors vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Warriors vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.