NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb892ee93bfb83612cf7ed4c325161aeee6d2ccf4ce67c292b3554e3dbf3081e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,082 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Warriors | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks | 47c | 10,204$4,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,424.75 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Warriors | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Warriors | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Hawks | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.97 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Warriors | 53c | 9,913$5,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,242.98 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Hawks | 51c | 6,121$3,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.29 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 51c | 5,761$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950.41 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks | 49c | 5,657$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,912.82 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks | 48c | 5,431$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,809.7 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Warriors | 52c | 4,950$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.73 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Warriors | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks | 48c | 3,947$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.49 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 52c | 3,610$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Warriors | 61c | 3,569$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.54 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hawks | 51c | 3,386$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.66 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 50c | 2,828$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.88 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks | 41c | 2,517$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.12 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Hawks | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec2…f266backed Hawks | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Hawks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Warriors | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Warriors | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…5f41backed Hawks | 49c | 1,840$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.51 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Warriors | 54c | 1,817$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.51 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Warriors | 53c | 1,659$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.94 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hawks | 49c | 1,531$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.53 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Hawks | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.16 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…9368backed Hawks | 48c | 1,450$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 47c | 1,220$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.21 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Warriors | 50c | 1,190$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Warriors | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Hawks | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Hawks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Warriors | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Warriors | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Warriors | 52c | 961.53$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Warriors | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Warriors | 3c | 687.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Hawks | 40c | 668.35$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.01 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Hawks | 47c | 615$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.89 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Warriors | 54c | 575.32$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.67 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hawks | 47c | 525.42$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.47 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Hawks | 49c | 510$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hawks | 46c | 503.13$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.69 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Hawks | 51c | 501.11$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.43 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Hawks | 49c | 425.92$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.22 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Hawks | 47c | 333.8$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.18 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Warriors | 55c | 312$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hawks | 48c | 275.63$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.11 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Warriors | 78c | 257.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 274 | 62%170 W · 104 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Hawks | 49c | 246.49$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked Warriors | 54c | 223.9$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.91 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Hawks | 47c | 223$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…0ee7backed Hawks | 57c | 221.33$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.21 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Hawks | 49c | 210$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.21 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…3898backed Hawks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4355…c5d4backed Warriors | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 51c | 163.14$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Hawks | 47c | 162$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 51c | 159.25$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.22 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Hawks | 46c | 153.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.93 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Hawks | 47c | 150$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96f0…23dcbacked Hawks | 48c | 147.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf558…b2cbbacked Hawks | 46c | 147.54$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.67 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Hawks | 22c | 138.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Hawks | 48c | 130$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Hawks | 46c | 127.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Hawks | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Hawks | 48c | 119.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x364b…f9bebacked Hawks | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Warriors | 22c | 89.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Hawks | 48c | 74.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Warriors | 41c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Hawks | 48c | 70.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d06…3beebacked Warriors | 52c | 69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Hawks | 48c | 68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Hawks | 48c | 67.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…96e1backed Hawks | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Hawks | 48c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…e905backed Hawks | 49c | 57.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Hawks | 55c | 57.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Warriors | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6aa…941dbacked Warriors | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Hawks | 49c | 43.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Hawks | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Warriors | 53c | 39.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Hawks | 47c | 37.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea4…aa27backed Warriors | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…b505backed Hawks | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Hawks | 41c | 26.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 246 | 52.8%130 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Warriors | 40c | 26.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Warriors | 59c | 25.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Hawks | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Hawks | 49c | 24.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Hawks | 44c | 24.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Warriors | 53c | 24.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed Hawks | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Warriors | 51c | 21.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Hawks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Hawks (-11.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Hawks won
- Warriors vs. HawksHawks won
- Warriors vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Warriors vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.