TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b70…7447

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2024, EST2171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+31.6%+$46.2
Will the Chiefs beat the Raiders by 13 or more points?backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$270.7
Dolphins vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+58.7%+$101.42
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST+49.3%+$57.04
Ravens vs. Chargersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+69.5%+$28.48
Eagles vs. Ramsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST+63.9%+$15.98
Titans vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$146.33
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$36.61
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+56.3%+$15.51
Dolphins vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$92.46
Colts vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2024, EST+38.9%+$9.32
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+85.2%+$11.03
Chiefs vs. 49ersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+93.1%+$393.62
Will the Jets beat the Steelers by 2 or more points?backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$816Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$815.73
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$437.29
Broncos vs. Saintsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$192.53
Bills vs. Jetsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+85.2%+$117.52
Bengals vs. Giantsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT+27%+$29.13
Browns vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$27.24
Jaguars vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$27.26
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT+56.3%+$10.64
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-50.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.52
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$107.83
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$116
Penguins vs. Panthersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ognjen Milicbacked Ognjen Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.03
Miami Open: Quentin Halys vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Naples: Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northern Illinois vs. Fresno Statebacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+75.4%+$91.97
Will Army beat Air Force by 22 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$49.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois State vs. Presbyterian Collegebacked Illinois State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$137.88
Illinois vs. Kentuckybacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$280.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$40.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$43.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.