Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Illinois State vs. Presbyterian College
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59704a8c60c87f664cc3f017fd21add70c21510de16e123c06ea3be4095a058a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Illinois Stateof Illinois State, Presbyterian College
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc264…2560backed Illinois State | 68c | 10,038$6,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ba…e054backed Illinois State | 68c | 10,031$6,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,209.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b2…0edebacked Illinois State | 68c | 10,024$6,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,207.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…e155backed Illinois State | 68c | 9,999$6,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6b…0b74backed Illinois State | 68c | 9,998$6,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9465…cfeebacked Presbyterian College | 32c | 9,994$3,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,198.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…87afbacked Presbyterian College | 32c | 9,994$3,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,198.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c6…5040backed Presbyterian College | 32c | 9,974$3,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,191.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb2…8b1ebacked Presbyterian College | 32c | 9,972$3,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e94…a463backed Presbyterian College | 32c | 9,962$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,187.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Presbyterian College | 33c | 6,223$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.31 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226e…953abacked Presbyterian College | 30c | 3,100$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Illinois State | 76c | 2,996$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.83 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…b032backed Illinois State | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Presbyterian College | 34c | 1,498$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Presbyterian College | 4c | 1,309$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7e…cb66backed Illinois State | 71c | 1,300$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…23c2backed Illinois State | 70c | 1,300$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…216cbacked Illinois State | 70c | 1,150$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe696…36a0backed Presbyterian College | 30c | 1,037$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a48…9f3ebacked Illinois State | 70c | 1,037$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Illinois State | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Illinois State | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…fd2dbacked Presbyterian College | 30c | 911$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Presbyterian College | 32c | 910.96$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.51 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…bf06backed Illinois State | 70c | 910$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…7894backed Illinois State | 70c | 879$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bab…b470backed Presbyterian College | 30c | 879$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Illinois State | 67c | 679.48$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.23 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…8bf8backed Presbyterian College | 30c | 650$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked Illinois State | 71c | 621.72$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.3 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…7447backed Illinois State | 68c | 430.88$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Presbyterian College | 29c | 366.71$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Presbyterian College | 29c | 337.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Illinois State | 65c | 254.44$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked Illinois State | 67c | 237$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Presbyterian College | 30c | 209.93$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd47…ca3dbacked Presbyterian College | 33c | 160.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Illinois State | 67c | 147.76$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Illinois State | 68c | 146.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…8f26backed Illinois State | 69c | 141.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Illinois State | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…edc5backed Illinois State | 69c | 124.64$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Illinois State | 71c | 121.66$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed Illinois State | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f36…2305backed Illinois State | 68c | 112.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…e758backed Presbyterian College | 35c | 109.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Illinois State | 71c | 101.41$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…6c24backed Illinois State | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Illinois State | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafad…be06backed Illinois State | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…73cdbacked Illinois State | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Illinois State | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b14…64bcbacked Presbyterian College | 32c | 97.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Illinois State | 68c | 87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Illinois State | 68c | 80.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…b4f9backed Presbyterian College | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Illinois State | 71c | 70.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Presbyterian College | 30c | 62.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e5…be51backed Illinois State | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +58%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f73…ced3backed Illinois State | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…7e4fbacked Illinois State | 69c | 59.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…5b01backed Illinois State | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Illinois State | 67c | 57.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…c030backed Illinois State | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8ed4backed Illinois State | 68c | 55.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…6143backed Illinois State | 71c | 52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…d5d4backed Presbyterian College | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Illinois State | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Illinois State | 72c | 30.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5945…ac63backed Illinois State | 71c | 30.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x952c…070dbacked Illinois State | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6f…98cdbacked Illinois State | 71c | 20.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35dd…e349backed Illinois State | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4efa…d02dbacked Illinois State | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a34…8bafbacked Illinois State | 72c | 15.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Illinois State | 71c | 14.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.