Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Illinois vs. Kentucky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aed9f941b98b309fff2c481be22d6d4a32875609c5ffc35b5c87ee7f31898f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kentuckyof Illinois, Kentucky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $476,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $520,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $476,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c22…e76ebacked Illinois | 55c | 67,200$36,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,976.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0d…9a46backed Kentucky | 45c | 67,200$30,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,960 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Kentucky | 50c | 64,726$32,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,372.76 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Illinois | 43c | 54,991$23,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,880.6 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Illinois | 35c | 32,242$11,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,201.27 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Kentucky | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,800 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Kentucky | 48c | 25,904$12,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,507.93 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Illinois | 55c | 23,784$13,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,042.16 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Illinois | 26c | 18,235$4,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,710.97 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -13.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Illinois | 57c | 17,405$9,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,929 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed Illinois | 58c | 12,069$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Illinois | 56c | 11,844$6,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,604.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Kentucky | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Kentucky | 50c | 8,006$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,005.79 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Illinois | 41c | 7,357$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Kentucky | 43c | 6,267$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,571.92 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Illinois | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Illinois | 58c | 5,533$3,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,208.59 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kentucky | 54c | 5,374$2,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…36b3backed Kentucky | 72c | 4,975$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.59 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Illinois | 56c | 4,931$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,743.5 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Illinois | 50c | 3,662$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.68 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Illinois | 3c | 3,536$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.17 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kentucky | 44c | 3,038$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.21 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Illinois | 45c | 3,019$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.76 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef9…35cfbacked Kentucky | 55c | 2,988$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.56 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Illinois | 59c | 2,600$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Kentucky | 46c | 2,178$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.93 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…b4f9backed Kentucky | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…903dbacked Illinois | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d47…b10cbacked Illinois | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…0de1backed Illinois | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…ca8dbacked Kentucky | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…6925backed Kentucky | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…8e5abacked Kentucky | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Kentucky | 43c | 1,792$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Illinois | 19c | 1,768$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.28 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Kentucky | 59c | 1,750$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.27 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Illinois | 54c | 1,714$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.13 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…9ac8backed Illinois | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Kentucky | 44c | 1,499$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…b032backed Illinois | 56c | 1,499$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Illinois | 40c | 1,469$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.16 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Kentucky | 43c | 1,396$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.97 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kentucky | 66c | 1,386$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.69 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Illinois | 57c | 1,300$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Illinois | 32c | 1,145$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.14 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Kentucky | 44c | 1,134$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.09 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…64a1backed Kentucky | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Illinois | 14c | 1,111$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.54 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Illinois | 56c | 1,016$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.18 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…2257backed Kentucky | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Illinois | 1c | 931.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Illinois | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Kentucky | 50c | 850$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.5 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Kentucky | 60c | 807.32$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.51 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…f77bbacked Kentucky | 70c | 800.69$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Kentucky | 42c | 727.69$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.06 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Illinois | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…9e23backed Illinois | 29c | 699.46$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Illinois | 56c | 678.95$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.84 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Illinois | 55c | 666$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.97 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Kentucky | 45c | 650$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Illinois | 24c | 621.78$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.95 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Illinois | 6c | 590$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf848…03abbacked Kentucky | 44c | 574.3$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…7447backed Illinois | 56c | 500.25$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Illinois | 5c | 500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Kentucky | 52c | 500$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8053…2a8ebacked Kentucky | 45c | 470.16$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.59 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…8f26backed Illinois | 54c | 470$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Illinois | 50c | 465.62$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.83 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Illinois | 32c | 448.52$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Illinois | 3c | 440.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Kentucky | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Kentucky | 43c | 350$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Illinois | 57c | 347.37$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked Illinois | 46c | 315.22$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Illinois | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7e…8a48backed Illinois | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Kentucky | 43c | 299.98$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Illinois | 56c | 293.4$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.28 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…4988backed Kentucky | 43c | 290.7$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…ab7dbacked Illinois | 28c | 286.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Kentucky | 46c | 263.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.09 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed Illinois | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62b2…85d5backed Kentucky | 43c | 250$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Kentucky | 65c | 249.5$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Kentucky | 69c | 247.01$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Illinois | 43c | 244.31$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Kentucky | 44c | 230$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Kentucky | 45c | 228.07$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.52 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Kentucky | 44c | 225.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.66 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Kentucky | 57c | 225.21$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Kentucky | 58c | 218.57$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…6c24backed Kentucky | 59c | 203.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Illinois | 55c | 187.38$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Illinois | 57c | 182.46$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…d77dbacked Illinois | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…7e92backed Illinois | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.