TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75f0…7e92

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+63.9%+$447.54
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$300
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+121.7%+$279.96
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+69.3%+$277.37
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$165.96
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,006.1
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,300
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO5) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,060
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$500
LoL: Disguised vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+53.8%+$172.31
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+36.7%+$220.18
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$234.36
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.7%+$472.08
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.87
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.51
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+72%+$486.35
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$360
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcatsbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Oregon vs. Arizonabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$173.62
New Mexico vs. Michigan Statebacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Colorado State vs. Marylandbacked Maryland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$34.49
St. Mary's vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$56.83
Illinois vs. Kentuckybacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
UConn vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+39.8%+$69.15
UCLA vs. Tennesseebacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
BYU vs. Wisconsinbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$33.67
Xavier vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$47.41
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$349
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$1,418.87
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+114.2%+$1,141.99
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+95.8%+$1,197.86
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 5 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-31.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-57.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+185.7%+$444.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup 1 Playoffsbacked Marsborne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$29.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.