CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54607dc8efce7626ea894030f89c5ca9257f1d36f31bc8c6a662d8bbb0eb7d56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vocaof Voca, Marsborne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Voca | 55c | 3,627$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.37 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Marsborne | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Marsborne | 45c | 1,473$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.66 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Marsborne | 47c | 1,007$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.65 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Marsborne | 37c | 847.48$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.47 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Voca | 55c | 702.02$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.81 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Voca | 55c | 585.45$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.45 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Voca | 44c | 483.79$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.52 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Marsborne | 45c | 428.75$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Voca | 48c | 393.09$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.12 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Marsborne | 45c | 341.37$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.62 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Voca | 50c | 335$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae65…70debacked Marsborne | 47c | 317.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Marsborne | 56c | 286.04$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.02 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Voca | 43c | 282.27$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.75 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Marsborne | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Marsborne | 76c | 199.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Voca | 51c | 187.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f8…5a82backed Voca | 27c | 179.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.19 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Voca | 46c | 178.02$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.13 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Voca | 42c | 176$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Voca | 54c | 165.81$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Voca | 44c | 159.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Marsborne | 23c | 151.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Marsborne | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Marsborne | 45c | 141.54$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Marsborne | 22c | 133.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -15.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Voca | 24c | 129.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.26 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Voca | 42c | 110$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Voca | 53c | 104$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Voca | 31c | 103.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Marsborne | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce12…0e76backed Marsborne | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Voca | 45c | 99.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…1aa1backed Voca | 53c | 93.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Marsborne | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Marsborne | 46c | 79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Voca | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Marsborne | 59c | 71.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Voca | 48c | 68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Voca | 54c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Voca | 68c | 60.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Marsborne | 26c | 54.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Marsborne | 59c | 50.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Marsborne | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8c…233fbacked Marsborne | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…7e92backed Marsborne | 60c | 49.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Voca | 24c | 49.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Marsborne | 54c | 44.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…0d11backed Marsborne | 78c | 38.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb969…089ebacked Marsborne | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c1…e199backed Marsborne | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…c264backed Voca | 68c | 33.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Voca | 42c | 33.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Voca | 41c | 30.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc0…ac69backed Voca | 42c | 28.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Marsborne | 56c | 28.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5255…6e58backed Marsborne | 69c | 27.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Marsborne | 49c | 25.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Voca | 56c | 23.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Voca | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Marsborne | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd653…f5e7backed Voca | 75c | 17.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne - Map 1 WinnerMarsborne won
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne - Map 2 WinnerVoca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.