TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5255…6e58

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
168
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT6546.2%30 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.01
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$63
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.48
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.83
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$81.99
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.7
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.54
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$17.89
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$23.4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$121.76
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$49.99
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+76%+$196.94
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$218.54
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.31
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$190.3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$739Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$611
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$251.59
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$18.9
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$121.66
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT3748.6%18 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$19.27
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+67%+$18.75
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$5.51
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$4.7
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$7.26
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$7.1
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$10.45
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FC Famalicão Esports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group Cbacked Falcons Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$29.05
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+26%+$3.9
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.75
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+555.9%+$421.92
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.84
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.6
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.2
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$8.78
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+46%+$15.91
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.86
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.08
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,093.03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$579
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$43
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$105
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+157.7%+$61.2
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-44.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+86.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick34cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26.73
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$15.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$5.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Viking FK win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.