TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, G2
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,021,305
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,220,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,021,305 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 675 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3d91…a5fdbacked G230c72,500$21,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,749.961040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefe5…6f6bbacked Spirit69c72,000$49,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,3201100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Spirit70c70,901$49,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,270.422354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked G230c68,997$20,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,940.678258.5%48 W · 34 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+28.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed G231c55,109$16,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,932.8133043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Spirit77c43,591$33,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,843.4264852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed G230c41,471$12,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,258.6913244.7%59 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed G230c35,672$10,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,802.1741649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Spirit69c30,000$20,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,299.9738358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Spirit70c27,857$19,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,357.1448350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Spirit69c25,000$17,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,75072453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x733b…7260backed Spirit73c20,639$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,638.942259.1%13 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick72cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Spirit68c20,000$13,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,399.9914050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Spirit70c19,517$13,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,910.6615947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked G265c18,369$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,00025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed G229c18,101$5,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,225.332732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked Spirit70c18,000$12,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40019757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked G232c17,485$5,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,515.935,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked G231c17,000$5,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,27075652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed G230c16,667$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00021048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed G231c15,000$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6508043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Spirit69c15,000$10,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,65050054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Spirit34c15,000$5,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,924.8516245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79be…b605backed Spirit70c14,213$9,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,273.256245.2%28 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f4…3eacbacked G29c13,901$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.76922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c4f…a5e2backed G20c12,500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed G231c12,200$3,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,78223848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Spirit34c12,000$4,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,979.8471645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x535c…96babacked G230c11,642$3,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,492.73837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Spirit69c10,870$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,369.5719055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Spirit35c10,022$3,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,563.1478639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed G229c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.986841.2%28 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed G231c9,000$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,79067041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked G230c9,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9836152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked Spirit71c8,370$5,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.676464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed G230c7,524$2,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,253.62,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Spirit69c7,250$5,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,247.519455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49ac…2f1ebacked Spirit69c7,246$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.3827751.6%143 W · 134 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Spirit70c7,131$4,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.315050.7%76 W · 74 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked G229c7,053$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,045.417948.1%38 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed G231c6,452$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked Spirit68c6,200$4,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953.9917945.3%81 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed G267c5,929$3,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,972.9922849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed G230c5,695$1,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,713.842,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Spirit71c5,170$3,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.4225261.5%155 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked G269c5,162$3,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,536.1621655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Spirit32c5,148$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,500.6235153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed G231c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55011638.8%45 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Spirit68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60076058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed G267c5,000$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,349.8937946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Spirit69c4,914$3,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.3911253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed G24c4,274$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.6514042.1%59 W · 81 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed Spirit70c4,143$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.8620448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Spirit68c4,110$2,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.2842440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf917…bde0backed G232c4,100$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31212253.3%65 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed G231c4,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2404643.5%20 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b2b…e0e6backed Spirit71c3,894$2,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Spirit69c3,630$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.0319660.7%119 W · 77 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-7.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed G217c3,593$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.131,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed88…e838backed Spirit70c3,570$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0711770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed G264c3,500$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,24010935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed G225c3,500$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.481,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked G231c3,225$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8821424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e3…706fbacked Spirit78c3,196$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.3917967.6%121 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed G230c3,181$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.2560853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked G213c3,170$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.442,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa6…9d71backed Spirit70c3,143$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.864856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Spirit68c3,100$2,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.9940558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked G267c3,079$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,07063541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked G265c3,077$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Spirit36c3,067$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,973.4926743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Spirit32c3,062$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.481931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed Spirit69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9302360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked G231c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93012956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked G215c3,000$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.362,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed G231c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93017045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Spirit70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90045455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed G230c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90026952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc6f…959abacked Spirit70c2,807$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.163363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Spirit34c2,804$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.2260248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Spirit69c2,787$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.9634146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed G225c2,707$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.752,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked G215c2,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37561228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked G268c2,500$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70017540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed G267c2,500$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.9838954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed G231c2,332$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.9245639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed Spirit71c2,254$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.5211061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked G228c2,217$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.151,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed G232c2,188$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70016047.5%76 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed G214c2,183$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.156,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked G225c2,111$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.221,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed G269c2,027$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.5417554.9%96 W · 79 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit70c2,020$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6061,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Spirit70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60023354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed G231c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62053746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed G218c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36011434.2%39 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Spirit68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.974459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bf3…0626backed G213c1,891$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+50.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Spirit69c1,878$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.8520458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x363e…b78bbacked G269c1,843$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.972853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.