TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, G2
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,279
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$186,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,279 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed G258c27,607$16,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,000.8233043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked G259c13,200$7,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,787.978258.5%48 W · 34 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+28.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Spirit41c12,500$5,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,37550054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed G260c11,000$6,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5908043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed G259c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,899.9711638.8%45 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Spirit41c9,798$4,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,750.7221655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked G260c9,441$5,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,664.8375452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed G259c9,345$5,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,513.841649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed G261c8,148$4,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,970.0120946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Spirit41c7,600$3,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,460.149248.9%45 W · 47 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Spirit41c7,200$2,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,247.9830340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Spirit40c6,824$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,094.597454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit40c6,202$2,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,695.381,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Spirit63c6,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.9871645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Spirit63c5,438$3,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.478639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Spirit39c5,138$2,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,134.0972453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Spirit39c3,756$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.8814050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed G237c3,195$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.0646143.4%200 W · 261 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Spirit42c3,095$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,795.2416248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked G259c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77012956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed G259c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7704643.5%20 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa503…c5b9backed Spirit40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.992240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Spirit42c2,342$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.6427658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7002…395cbacked Spirit42c2,128$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.12356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Spirit41c2,106$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.4522750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Spirit42c1,967$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.6722444.2%99 W · 125 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d8e…3734backed Spirit49c1,931$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.65683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Spirit53c1,919$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.723,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c93…2079backed G259c1,800$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0623250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed G260c1,750$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.1626743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Spirit41c1,707$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.3235236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed G236c1,581$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56917948%86 W · 93 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf6a…925fbacked G261c1,525$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.55742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed G261c1,518$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.8320249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Spirit55c1,441$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.747,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Spirit64c1,326$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.3660248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Spirit41c1,238$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.5713646.3%63 W · 73 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac42…60d1backed Spirit42c1,219$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.113132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed G259c1,184$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70016047.5%76 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed G260c1,128$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.9718261.5%112 W · 70 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Spirit40c1,111$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.7810635.8%38 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe081…fc19backed G236c1,111$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Spirit40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60055845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked G260c999.99$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9910058%58 W · 42 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Spirit41c960$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.711259.8%67 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc787…64e8backed G237c815$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.55475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+184.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Spirit41c800$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47231345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed G236c750$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2706747.8%32 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spirit44c641.92$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.452,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf706…20e0backed Spirit42c614.29$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.292157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed G236c537.5$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.513738.7%53 W · 84 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked G238c519.81$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8714839.2%58 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed G237c505.41$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1871050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Spirit41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29543640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75e1…8f69backed G237c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Spirit60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb41e…db27backed G236c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1809345.2%42 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Spirit42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1931451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed G236c419.99$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.228549.5%141 W · 144 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4654…7d52backed Spirit42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2321450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4554…8deebacked Spirit36c393.08$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.571942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed G258c388.01$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.492,42944.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L-63.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked Spirit40c375$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22528143.8%123 W · 158 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked Spirit59c360.11$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7526341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c70…9a6cbacked Spirit40c360$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2165137.3%19 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb27d…3cc3backed Spirit42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.1416254.3%88 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Spirit42c355.88$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4114939.6%59 W · 90 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed G259c347.94$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.299642.7%41 W · 55 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe36c…a856backed Spirit42c337.05$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.498038.8%31 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked G258c333$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1412950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ea…59a1backed G237c324.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12019238%73 W · 119 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0db0…6424backed Spirit40c322.88$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.736744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed G237c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed Spirit58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12638452.3%201 W · 183 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked G238c266.9$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.481,64332.8%539 W · 1,104 L-48.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Spirit55c256.46$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.231,48458%861 W · 623 L+66.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed G241c246.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Spirit40c245$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14753034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Spirit40c244.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.545330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Spirit41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.914044.3%62 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Spirit41c240$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.62360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a7…5350backed Spirit42c238.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked G237c238.36$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8863341.9%265 W · 368 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed G239c234.89$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4980740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed Spirit42c233.69$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5429757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked G259c229.25$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6825650.4%129 W · 127 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Spirit80c223.25$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6537149.6%184 W · 187 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed Spirit42c210.9$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3230527.5%84 W · 221 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Spirit41c210.47$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.186747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dff…a435backed Spirit42c209.76$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.765100%5 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+153.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked G250c200.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.323,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Spirit40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12013252.3%69 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked Spirit45c199.99$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9938157.7%220 W · 161 L-1.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed Spirit63c190.63$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6323456.8%133 W · 101 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeebe…5d9bbacked Spirit42c178.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5715856.3%89 W · 69 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked Spirit40c167.29$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3766753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked G260c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked G242c157.72$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2448845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Spirit40c151$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.613049.2%64 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed G259c149.35$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1216347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.