TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sharksof Alliance, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$306,477
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$341,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,477 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6185…2965backed Sharks44c35,857$15,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,005.2814051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Sharks51c35,581$18,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,481.3275652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Alliance53c25,000$13,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,249.9741649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sharks47c23,436$11,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,427.945,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Alliance57c20,945$11,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,835.3248350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Sharks54c20,938$11,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,615.263157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Alliance56c13,000$7,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,299.9836453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed Alliance57c12,070$6,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,849.217951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Alliance43c10,603$4,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,536.6135940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Alliance55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.9938358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Sharks63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,699.9935153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2266…138abacked Alliance37c9,441$3,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,472.444139%16 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Alliance57c8,847$5,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,014.352,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54c2…23adbacked Sharks45c7,947$3,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,371.128748.3%42 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Sharks61c6,073$3,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,373.946,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Alliance54c5,556$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00016443.9%72 W · 92 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance52c4,807$2,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.991,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Alliance42c4,468$1,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.271,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Sharks44c4,306$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,413.535745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14d4…c4bfbacked Sharks47c4,255$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.32633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-41.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Sharks50c3,807$1,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.614,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Alliance54c3,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00033359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed Sharks53c3,516$1,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.1820448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Alliance47c2,993$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Alliance24c2,877$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.111,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Sharks43c2,784$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.593,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Alliance47c2,500$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16555845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed Sharks62c2,470$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.0812259.8%73 W · 49 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2067…7350backed Sharks45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.2227657.6%159 W · 117 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Alliance47c2,103$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99010635.8%38 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Alliance40c2,040$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.134559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Sharks52c1,940$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.7536450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffc7…2259backed Alliance55c1,926$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.355442.6%23 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Sharks44c1,893$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Sharks45c1,856$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.2920358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Alliance55c1,768$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.78560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Sharks45c1,751$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.022,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed Sharks64c1,747$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.619840.9%81 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Alliance57c1,715$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.231,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Sharks70c1,685$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.0252837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed Sharks65c1,548$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.111843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Sharks45c1,527$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.7421545.6%98 W · 117 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked Alliance56c1,515$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8496256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sharks56c1,509$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.737,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Sharks42c1,505$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.9120249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked Sharks43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85515646.8%73 W · 83 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Alliance58c1,452$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84139157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Alliance49c1,446$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.74,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e53…bf9abacked Sharks62c1,430$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.396947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc99…e947backed Sharks47c1,398$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.942055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d7f…2ae7backed Sharks44c1,305$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.7510151.5%52 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Sharks46c1,276$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.388242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d56…9ad8backed Sharks47c1,257$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd4…5aaebacked Alliance52c1,250$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Alliance41c1,241$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.2134146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed Alliance42c1,233$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.9316949.1%83 W · 86 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Alliance48c1,205$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.545,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea1c…921bbacked Alliance52c1,178$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61712143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Alliance36c1,176$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.372,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd2b…2f59backed Alliance52c1,139$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.681353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Sharks44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.3616732.9%55 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Sharks45c1,104$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.4126045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Sharks59c1,082$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.387447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x008b…c1cfbacked Sharks63c1,071$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.596355.6%35 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Sharks50c1,044$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.3916544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaaf…051bbacked Alliance54c1,014$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.5511148.6%54 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Sharks45c1,000$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55449935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Sharks63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37098052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb12…6a81backed Sharks47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5308548.2%41 W · 44 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Alliance47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4702045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked Alliance37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37016355.8%91 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e23…e933backed Alliance55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9912660.3%76 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Alliance43c993.54$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.4137440.4%151 W · 223 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Alliance52c963.86$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.6966446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed Alliance55c962.82$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.9918547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Sharks42c960$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.848437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked Sharks39c938.01$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.326341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Alliance54c907.41$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49053034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99e6…59dbbacked Sharks64c895.13$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.196541.5%27 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Sharks54c886.17$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.2529340.6%119 W · 174 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x790e…b82dbacked Sharks44c837.45$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.733262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Alliance41c835.32$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.6228943.6%126 W · 163 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Alliance25c834.11$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.842,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Alliance26c819.29$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.671,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked Alliance58c800$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.214454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed Sharks59c798.99$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.4550947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Alliance49c773.28$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.872,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed Sharks57c749.99$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32520750.7%105 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa195…8c92backed Alliance36c720.4$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.349138.5%35 W · 56 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed Sharks57c712.1$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.215954.1%86 W · 73 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked Alliance56c710$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.642050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e2…9aeebacked Sharks45c700$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3855240.4%21 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Sharks41c698$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.3157641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Alliance47c696.42$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.1264046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Alliance39c693.67$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.242,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Sharks46c652.15$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.162,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Sharks62c645.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.971,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4531…0ad7backed Sharks47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.35048%24 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Sharks49c628.03$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Alliance53c618.06$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.7545238.3%173 W · 279 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.