CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae6d3b24a0e7ab5217b8bbc42584046a628c99837e6008c536f878eb2b08685f

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Sharksof Alliance, Sharks
Resolved: May 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $82,520
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $105,533

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,520 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Alliance	79c	12,684$10,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,008.16	224	68.8%154 W · 70 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	72cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Sharks	29c	4,692$1,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,335.29	631	57.1%360 W · 271 L	+40.1wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2266…138abacked Alliance	45c	2,415$1,087 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,086.66	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Alliance	50c	2,021$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010.38	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Sharks	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	439	51.7%227 W · 212 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Sharks	69c	1,723$1,182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.35	418	50%209 W · 209 L	+9.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Sharks	53c	1,593$837 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$756.21	3,225	51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L	+88.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Sharks	76c	1,451$1,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.25	1,040	44%458 W · 582 L	-22.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Alliance	38c	1,323$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	299	34.4%103 W · 196 L	-12.6wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Sharks	56c	1,294$725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.27	550	43.1%237 W · 313 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Sharks	25c	1,191$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$891.05	289	43.6%126 W · 163 L	+8.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb623…4203backed Alliance	9c	1,183$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	16cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Sharks	57c	1,112$635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$477.54	656	50.3%330 W · 326 L	-15.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Alliance	43c	999.99$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430	171	48%82 W · 89 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Alliance	32c	968.1$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.65	1,278	21.9%280 W · 998 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Sharks	48c	939.99$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490.6	946	45.8%433 W · 513 L	+18.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Alliance	42c	609.84$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.57	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Sharks	54c	580.65$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.17	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed Sharks	53c	500$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235	183	38.8%71 W · 112 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Alliance	31c	500$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157	101	33.7%34 W · 67 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Alliance	55c	499.99$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.99	1,393	65.9%918 W · 475 L	+26.8wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed Sharks	60c	494.65$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.94	359	53.2%191 W · 168 L	+14.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa113…284ebacked Alliance	48c	466.56$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.06	209	35.4%74 W · 135 L	-21.5wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8668…7f8fbacked Sharks	30c	458.25$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.25	133	43.6%58 W · 75 L	-9.8wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7437…e1e9backed Sharks	48c	420.48$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.48	109	42.2%46 W · 63 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked Sharks	25c	400$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	398	47.7%190 W · 208 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed Sharks	12c	377$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.41	198	40.9%81 W · 117 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Sharks	42c	372.93$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.43	500	50.6%253 W · 247 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Alliance	35c	356.06$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.63	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Sharks	23c	336.07$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.78	2,604	52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L	+98.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed Sharks	20c	280$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224	383	12.8%49 W · 334 L	-12.7wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Sharks	47c	279.02$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.87	640	46.3%296 W · 344 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Sharks	73c	273.21$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.21	354	60.7%215 W · 139 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked Alliance	11c	263.62$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	146	39%57 W · 89 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Sharks	32c	252.03$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.28	610	34.3%209 W · 401 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Sharks	41c	248$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.23	2,362	46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L	-53.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Alliance	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	538	50.6%272 W · 266 L	-15.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb425…c80bbacked Alliance	75c	200$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed Sharks	63c	200$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74	173	45.7%79 W · 94 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed Alliance	45c	195.78$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.78	301	53.8%162 W · 139 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Sharks	55c	189.97$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.59	1,485	58%862 W · 623 L	+66.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Sharks	48c	174$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.43	456	46.9%214 W · 242 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Sharks	57c	172.98$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.38	290	52.4%152 W · 138 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed Sharks	56c	171.77$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.81	159	54.1%86 W · 73 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked Sharks	30c	166.67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.67	281	43.8%123 W · 158 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Sharks	31c	165.09$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.53	374	40.4%151 W · 223 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Sharks	67c	150.27$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.27	213	62.4%133 W · 80 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d1…a9f7backed Sharks	54c	147.82$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.82	86	39.5%34 W · 52 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Alliance	43c	140.93$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	410	54.6%224 W · 186 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Sharks	43c	139.87$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.65	2,473	34.6%855 W · 1,618 L	-188.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe2c2…be71backed Alliance	76c	131.97$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Alliance	36c	126.67$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Alliance	34c	126.37$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.57	1,003	55.7%559 W · 444 L	+24.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked Sharks	28c	125.48$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.72	187	59.4%111 W · 76 L	+15.1wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed Alliance	65c	123.08$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	279	61.3%171 W · 108 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Sharks	40c	120$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.18	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Sharks	57c	119.53$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.53	379	49.3%187 W · 192 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed Sharks	58c	102.11$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.11	283	46.6%132 W · 151 L	-7.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked Sharks	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	415	16.6%69 W · 346 L	-36.5wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Alliance	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	353	44.8%158 W · 195 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9e6…fb0fbacked Sharks	41c	95.63$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.42	91	29.7%27 W · 64 L	-8.3wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43dc…e505backed Alliance	77c	95.11$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.8	69	60.9%42 W · 27 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Alliance	76c	92.11$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	260	75%195 W · 65 L	+23.6wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Sharks	42c	88.85$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.38	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Sharks	52c	77.06$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.2	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Alliance	45c	66.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	279	47.3%132 W · 147 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc38…c3b4backed Sharks	28c	66.17$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.38	339	50.7%172 W · 167 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Sharks	38c	57.7$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.77	2,626	30.9%812 W · 1,814 L	-105.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Sharks	20c	50$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	239	40.2%96 W · 143 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Sharks	35c	50$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	303	48.5%147 W · 156 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sharks	36c	48.94$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.33	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Sharks	40c	47.33$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.4	333	40.2%134 W · 199 L	+13.6wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba43…8494backed Sharks	37c	42.87$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.87	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-3.6wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Sharks	42c	42.43$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.43	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Sharks	56c	42.13$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.53	385	52.7%203 W · 182 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23b4…48dabacked Sharks	57c	41.67$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.92	109	42.2%46 W · 63 L	-5.4wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed Alliance	51c	40.82$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	593	54.8%325 W · 268 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Sharks	28c	40$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.8	807	41.3%333 W · 474 L	-10.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Sharks	45c	39.72$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.75	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Alliance	60c	39$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	401	48.4%194 W · 207 L	-14.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x190c…f052backed Sharks	44c	34.09$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.09	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe297…e484backed Alliance	45c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	322	58.7%189 W · 133 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Sharks	36c	29.99$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.27	489	43.6%213 W · 276 L	-12.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b81…cdc0backed Alliance	37c	27.3$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe9…4829backed Alliance	68c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Sharks	77c	13$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.95	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 PlayoffsSharks won
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks - Map 2 WinnerSharks won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)Sharks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event