Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x281836f14d912b380d134c26cef68a1cadb6ae2b8881fffedb3143e4778a33fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,522,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,522,226 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed No | 43c | 378,212$162,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162,154.65 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 42c | 211,026$89,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,536.49 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Yes | 58c | 180,142$104,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,172.5 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 62c | 154,839$95,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,182.43 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked No | 44c | 134,616$59,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,137.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 57c | 95,000$54,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,850 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 58c | 86,207$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,206.9 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 56c | 80,000$44,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,200 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 42c | 80,000$33,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,599.81 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0792…b778backed No | 43c | 60,000$25,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,800 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 54,070$34,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,757.82 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Yes | 56c | 50,000$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed No | 39c | 40,338$15,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,821.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Yes | 57c | 40,000$22,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,199.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…b6babacked Yes | 58c | 34,483$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,482.76 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed No | 38c | 34,000$12,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,919.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 77c | 27,148$20,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,179.5 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 59c | 25,944$15,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,728.52 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed No | 42c | 25,500$10,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,709.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb529…ad06backed No | 41c | 23,865$9,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,685.94 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…997abacked Yes | 58c | 22,675$13,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,438.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdafa…ca1abacked Yes | 57c | 21,770$12,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,343.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 57c | 21,610$12,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,231.01 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Yes | 57c | 21,272$12,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,146.9 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 42c | 18,687$7,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,848.66 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 59c | 17,951$10,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,425.13 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 43c | 17,325$7,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,449.75 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes | 58c | 17,241$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,241.38 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 43c | 16,986$7,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,303.98 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed No | 42c | 13,032$5,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,473.31 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a05fbacked Yes | 58c | 12,934$7,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,432 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 57c | 12,797$7,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,498.3 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8386…7c5dbacked Yes | 58c | 12,069$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,068.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked Yes | 57c | 12,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 40c | 11,836$4,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,769.2 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed Yes | 58c | 11,308$6,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,749.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0389…3e49backed No | 42c | 10,570$4,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,439.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 57c | 10,526$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,526.32 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c0…0982backed Yes | 58c | 10,517$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,417.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 74c | 10,000$7,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.47 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.98 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Yes | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed No | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.91 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes | 59c | 9,896$5,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,057.35 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…5e52backed No | 28c | 9,085$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27dd…c66abacked No | 42c | 9,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 41c | 8,900$3,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e8…b5e3backed Yes | 58c | 8,852$5,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 41c | 8,500$3,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,514.94 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 59c | 8,475$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.58 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 42c | 7,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked No | 42c | 7,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 57c | 6,800$3,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 60c | 6,667$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.67 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 42c | 6,453$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.26 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed No | 18c | 6,067$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 42c | 5,942$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.64 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9913…21cfbacked Yes | 59c | 5,925$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yes | 58c | 5,746$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.47 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 57c | 5,691$3,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.92 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8b…6d8abacked Yes | 60c | 5,454$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.71 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 42c | 5,070$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.4 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 41c | 5,051$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.75 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Yes | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed No | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked No | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 41c | 5,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.98 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 41c | 5,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.93 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 57c | 4,500$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.99 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.11 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed Yes | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…c73bbacked Yes | 57c | 4,185$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.55 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.44per pick | 46cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 57c | 3,948$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.64 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x601a…a675backed Yes | 74c | 3,829$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 3,716$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.52 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 43c | 3,451$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.28 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…84bbbacked No | 43c | 3,448$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 22c | 3,447$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.95 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed Yes | 58c | 3,446$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Yes | 58c | 3,444$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.4 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 56c | 3,333$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.52 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 73c | 3,041$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.33 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 67c | 2,881$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.27 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed No | 43c | 2,803$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.36 | 202 | 46.5%94 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Yes | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 59c | 2,636$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.59 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.57 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 41c | 2,563$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.8 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 26c | 2,557$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.78 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?this page
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.