Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea37927afde20f92dc612abf6f1ea46cc00a4aaf28a98393f3571393363f2ceb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,429,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,696,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,429,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa136…97debacked Yes | 72c | 3,477,797$2,519,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958,246.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 28c | 1,811,110$499,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499,555.24 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…88cfbacked No | 28c | 460,071$129,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129,010.55 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 29c | 412,486$120,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,540.19 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 28c | 366,054$101,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,945.38 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 26c | 267,960$70,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,646.56 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 29c | 158,800$45,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,956 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed No | 27c | 150,000$40,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,499.97 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 28c | 96,086$26,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,562.11 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 71c | 70,000$49,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,300 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Yes | 72c | 63,868$46,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,606.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 29c | 62,527$18,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,132.86 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 76c | 57,183$43,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,996.52 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 28c | 44,783$12,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,329.08 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed No | 28c | 42,621$11,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,933.77 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 29c | 41,800$11,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,984.63 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 27c | 37,053$10,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,141.4 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed Yes | 68c | 36,781$25,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,770.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed No | 28c | 35,714$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…8ed4backed Yes | 73c | 32,877$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,876.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e9…1644backed Yes | 71c | 31,488$22,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,131.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 27c | 30,256$8,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,169.12 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 28c | 30,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,399.99 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 72c | 27,950$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950.04 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 33c | 26,812$8,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,896.6 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7754…9709backed Yes | 68c | 24,802$16,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,936.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 72c | 23,611$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,611.11 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 72c | 23,279$16,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,493.33 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 73c | 23,055$16,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,250.59 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…b6babacked Yes | 72c | 22,222$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,222.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 72c | 20,833$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,833.33 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…93bfbacked Yes | 73c | 20,548$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,547.95 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 72c | 20,263$14,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,673.59 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 28c | 20,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 27c | 18,888$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.76 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 27c | 18,000$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,860 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed No | 32c | 17,683$5,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,633.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 29c | 17,241$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 28c | 16,552$4,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,681.99 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…c2f9backed Yes | 73c | 15,999$11,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.86 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 32c | 15,600$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.91 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 27c | 15,220$4,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,109.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 28c | 14,547$4,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,073.21 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 13,887$3,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,402.7 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked No | 27c | 13,000$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 69c | 12,500$8,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,824.97 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 27c | 12,124$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332.95 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 28c | 12,000$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,329.99 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 73c | 10,959$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.9 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed No | 28c | 10,236$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Yes | 66c | 10,028$6,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372.12 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked No | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 29c | 9,739$2,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.35 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 30c | 8,888$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.71 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 28c | 8,850$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.97 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 28c | 8,000$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 71c | 8,000$5,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 72c | 7,933$5,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.28 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed No | 29c | 7,887$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 28c | 7,582$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.22 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +59%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 34c | 7,501$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.76 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 27c | 7,213$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…c875backed Yes | 72c | 6,944$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.44 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 72c | 6,820$4,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.81 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc788…8545backed Yes | 73c | 6,712$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.33 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555b…c93dbacked Yes | 71c | 6,641$4,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.82 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 6,609$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.74 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1727…680ebacked No | 27c | 6,429$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.12 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c31…23cbbacked Yes | 73c | 6,116$4,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 29c | 5,866$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.1 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…340dbacked Yes | 73c | 5,544$4,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.96 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed No | 28c | 5,532$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.92 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 20c | 5,471$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.1 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed No | 28c | 5,347$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Yes | 73c | 5,342$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.47 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 71c | 5,282$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.78 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 29c | 5,103$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.83 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 26c | 5,077$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.1 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 72c | 5,015$3,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.24 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 28c | 5,001$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.16 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…2f4abacked Yes | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d9…26a2backed Yes | 68c | 4,853$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.94 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…1351backed No | 36c | 4,722$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 64c | 4,697$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.97 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 28c | 4,249$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.24 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c14…52c8backed Yes | 71c | 4,207$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…2f6abacked Yes | 71c | 4,186$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 72c | 4,183$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.15 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 70c | 4,183$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.04 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Yes | 73c | 4,103$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5dfebacked No | 28c | 4,100$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.78 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked No | 28c | 4,093$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes | 63c | 4,050$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 28c | 4,021$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.67 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Yes | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2f…9d99backed Yes | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed Yes | 72c | 4,000$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked No | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked No | 1c | 3,981$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +115%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.