TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$387,299
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$435,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,299 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes11c80,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,8005345.3%24 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes11c26,703$2,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,980.1488635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd121…495dbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes11c9,290$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.911,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes11c9,251$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.772142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes10c7,115$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.5115233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes12c6,981$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.7340655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes9c5,977$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.3674644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes10c5,953$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.681,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes6c5,898$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.34,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Yes11c5,455$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Yes2c5,340$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes10c4,269$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.8726319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes29c4,009$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.8169772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes12c2,826$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.1919239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes9c2,649$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23453344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf57c…66febacked Yes2c2,504$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes12c2,484$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.8822049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes10c2,198$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.8525544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes7c1,948$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.012,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes11c1,819$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.127427%20 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x516c…8bb5backed Yes13c1,800$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes12c1,571$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.69660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked Yes13c1,523$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19890%0 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes12c1,365$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.582,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes9c1,256$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.897050%35 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x654a…cc32backed Yes11c1,091$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-68.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed Yes12c1,050$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.514162.4%88 W · 53 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Yes11c1,018$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick39cpaid+43%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f41…b387backed Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-71.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf332…e7b3backed Yes13c953.85$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No58c883$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.117048.6%34 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f36…1df7backed Yes12c854.17$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick21cpaid+177.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc040…9121backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a1…e17dbacked Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes12c791.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9550%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009131.9%29 W · 62 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-34.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes12c662.42$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.497534.7%26 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd23…77fdbacked Yes15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.058040%32 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes7c515.11$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.061,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc6…448ebacked Yes11c514.45$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.591010%1 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick31cpaid-70.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64a2…a495backed Yes12c497.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-64.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Yes13c477.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.734542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c2…b7b0backed Yes11c474$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes11c429$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.231513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5121…c122backed Yes5c424.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Yes11c356.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2411251.8%58 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes12c332.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3938233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes13c310.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.427545.3%34 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95a4…8a24backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89ac…5468backed Yes11c274.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1430%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f54…57f4backed Yes12c260$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc575…8821backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf05…8fb1backed Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes11c244.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.854731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x946c…33ddbacked Yes12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes11c207.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.945224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202425%6 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes5c198.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.622645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa470…5283backed Yes13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9726…349fbacked Yes13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+45.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes11c191.19$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9169851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33b…c8f2backed Yes12c183.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Yes11c182$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.029241.3%38 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x744e…0f25backed Yes11c180.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ff7…b686backed Yes11c178.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.881181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.35per pick47cpaid+80.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed No50c175.91$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.964131.7%13 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick21cpaid+85.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes14c174.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5951516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed Yes11c168$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.489331.2%29 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204440.9%18 W · 26 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+62.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8201…5d39backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc82d…5fd3backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016250.6%82 W · 80 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes12c166.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9920259.9%121 W · 81 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x64b2…a51abacked Yes9c165.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.27812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes12c165.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.895635.7%20 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f04…8c19backed Yes11c163.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab4…215abacked Yes9c163.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes12c157.46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.919441.8%81 W · 113 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2f…cf58backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes10c150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.457150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…61f0backed Yes11c137.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.08850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a7…b778backed Yes12c132.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.92195.3%1 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick24cpaid-81.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Yes10c110$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b31…b0debacked Yes11c110$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe864…c3c4backed Yes12c108.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe73a…ec04backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98fa…3528backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+122.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119753.6%52 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Yes11c99.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110534.3%36 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb36…06c8backed Yes12c99.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124932.7%16 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Yes12c91.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1113033.1%43 W · 87 L-11.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc552…a2c0backed Yes12c91.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e27…d603backed Yes11c91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.01825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4156…d0d2backed Yes22c66.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No69c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.525623.2%13 W · 43 L-7.5wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-56%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.