TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,090
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,528

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,090 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No80c14,492$11,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,916.1788635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes17c7,976$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.9654340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes25c6,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002339.1%9 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe54…3eddbacked Yes17c5,014$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-71.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed Yes25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2503125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68d0…b4dabacked Yes22c4,457$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.71147.1%1 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick30cpaid-86%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x20f7…5527backed No75c3,720$2,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.14100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes20c3,464$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.0674644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes14c3,179$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.331,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c2,953$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.96,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes16c2,145$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.6622049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed No76c2,032$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.242250%11 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked Yes26c2,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No79c1,441$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.691163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick73cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes16c1,367$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.7535941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2e2…e51dbacked Yes17c1,192$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.561050%5 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+47.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes25c1,157$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.3918748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes17c1,123$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.5719239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…06a4backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes2c806$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1226319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes20c610.67$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257736.4%28 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No75c606.67$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.675347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f0…fe05backed Yes21c600$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-56.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0705…a86fbacked Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003745.9%17 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+58.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9264…b547backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes17c560$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.22948.3%14 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick34cpaid+29%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes15c542.92$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9659247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9965…c703backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb67c…4532backed Yes20c446.95$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.394639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No80c437.34$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.095839.7%23 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff48…4836backed Yes27c433$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.64714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-66.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7906…be5dbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb52c…450cbacked Yes13c385.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64a2…a495backed Yes17c351.18$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-64.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…e3c2backed Yes28c339.5$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.06714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa13b…60c0backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes16c317.66$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.836743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89ac…5468backed Yes16c310.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5430%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c2…b7b0backed Yes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc6…448ebacked Yes21c285.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601010%1 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick31cpaid-70.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a7f…0492backed Yes22c283.03$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632020%4 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94bf…ee06backed Yes22c253.85$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-55.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Yes17c249.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.58930.3%27 W · 62 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes18c245.61$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.218831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes16c216.07$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5733551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes13c215.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.724,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x622a…8528backed Yes20c215$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+64.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16c7…eb9cbacked Yes17c211.76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4259645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes13c183.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.467327.4%20 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-56.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes16c182.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1469851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5b…ad1ebacked Yes26c173.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.33per pick49cpaid+63.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8662…958dbacked Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No79c165.96$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.115464.8%35 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes17c164.71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2812233.6%41 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes28c144.96$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.597525.3%19 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a2f…cf58backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacfc…f2fdbacked Yes16c124.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-38.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…1660backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf74…aa8ebacked Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes17c114.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.545635.7%20 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2926…b409backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+56.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No75c110.48$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.624963.3%31 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b31…b0debacked Yes17c110$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306428.1%18 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes17c105.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes22c101.13$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.59540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes16c100.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.048442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.954266.7%28 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1612650%63 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610838.9%42 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Yes20c97.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.515543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9a…68ddbacked Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes17c94.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes21c90$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.927948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa104…6930backed Yes17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3e…25f5backed Yes17c85.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Yes26c84.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224835.4%17 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98fa…3528backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+122.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No76c79.61$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1973258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33ca…f810backed Yes16c78.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.83636.1%13 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+51.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe864…c3c4backed Yes17c76.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb36…06c8backed Yes17c75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.754932.7%16 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes17c72.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2518352.5%96 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef5…e25cbacked Yes21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-48%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed6c…d0bbbacked Yes22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30b5…c37abacked Yes22c67.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes16c67.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.782,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No77c64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7245751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb20f…5737backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No69c62.41$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.225623.2%13 W · 43 L-7.5wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-56%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes26c51.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.391952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23ac…1119backed Yes25c44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x840e…b9edbacked No74c36.41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.47560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.