Music · resolved market
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac5a968ce63080fd83fcb9a8eb73512f0ad4f0c689a86740b37969f5fb62bb78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,296,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,636,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,296,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45b0…4857backed Yes | 12c | 283,175$34,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,196.84 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 3c | 148,690$4,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,121.48 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 8c | 120,017$9,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,253.58 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 9c | 118,245$10,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,552.74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 7c | 111,156$7,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,469.97 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 3c | 66,131$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.29 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd47e…ef51backed Yes | 8c | 56,655$4,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,656.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 40,744$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.37 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…a410backed Yes | 1c | 40,028$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.18 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +296.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 8c | 39,416$3,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…2264backed Yes | 4c | 39,000$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…d9b7backed Yes | 12c | 34,130$4,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,093 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a0…9884backed Yes | 0c | 34,112$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 11c | 32,372$3,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.17 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 8c | 32,168$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.81 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1190…9c52backed Yes | 9c | 29,362$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 8c | 29,307$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.81 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 4c | 27,934$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 5c | 27,734$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.23 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…19c1backed Yes | 6c | 25,764$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf76f…df4fbacked Yes | 11c | 24,376$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.72 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…f3a1backed Yes | 2c | 22,779$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Yes | 14c | 22,672$3,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,087.69 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2df9…4534backed Yes | 12c | 21,245$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…9919backed Yes | 6c | 21,039$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.45 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…c44dbacked Yes | 10c | 20,294$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.08 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa454…a549backed Yes | 1c | 20,207$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +164.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 9c | 19,756$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.86 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 17,832$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.3 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7b…974fbacked Yes | 11c | 16,277$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.94 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…22f9backed Yes | 5c | 16,178$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.73 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…e040backed Yes | 5c | 16,033$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…9cb3backed Yes | 11c | 15,362$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…738ebacked Yes | 6c | 15,319$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.85 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe698…e111backed Yes | 14c | 15,123$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…a065backed Yes | 2c | 14,565$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +600.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed Yes | 5c | 14,526$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.19 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…fdc0backed Yes | 6c | 14,384$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.84 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…6078backed Yes | 11c | 14,334$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…0ce6backed Yes | 1c | 14,286$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 12c | 14,219$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.49 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +530.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…9f2dbacked Yes | 1c | 13,869$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 5c | 13,563$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.15 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +163%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 10c | 13,429$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.66 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 9c | 13,100$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.35 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 8c | 12,996$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 8c | 12,951$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.02 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 2c | 12,842$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.81 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed Yes | 9c | 12,787$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.18 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…94a7backed Yes | 6c | 12,775$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.18 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +247.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6c…eb44backed Yes | 4c | 12,770$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.28 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes | 11c | 11,468$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.88 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7145…89e6backed Yes | 3c | 10,729$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae3…4859backed Yes | 3c | 10,699$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed Yes | 6c | 10,391$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.44 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…cf55backed Yes | 7c | 10,230$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.59 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 6c | 10,134$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c9…09f8backed Yes | 11c | 10,082$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 2c | 10,001$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.01 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa154…d173backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454e…62b9backed Yes | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +313.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 6c | 9,962$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc447…6c33backed Yes | 7c | 9,955$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b0…649abacked Yes | 1c | 9,643$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 1c | 9,500$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…7585backed Yes | 1c | 9,398$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…2804backed Yes | 8c | 9,377$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.25 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b5…280cbacked Yes | 1c | 9,258$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e8…08b2backed Yes | 7c | 9,222$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…6376backed Yes | 1c | 8,343$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce7…6b90backed Yes | 4c | 8,238$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +255.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 6c | 7,686$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.71 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc917…c359backed Yes | 13c | 7,552$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 4c | 7,376$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.22 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 1c | 7,319$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Yes | 1c | 7,143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50a…6717backed Yes | 1c | 7,143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…9820backed Yes | 6c | 7,086$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 7,029$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.99 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…1b74backed Yes | 1c | 6,875$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…ab26backed Yes | 12c | 6,787$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…09ebbacked Yes | 9c | 6,542$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.9 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes | 9c | 6,386$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.29 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked Yes | 2c | 6,339$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 6c | 6,315$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.42 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 6,280$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.69 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -70%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…b06ebacked Yes | 4c | 6,238$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -38%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 6,209$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.65 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…c162backed Yes | 4c | 6,033$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +624.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 5,544$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.42 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 11c | 5,529$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.2 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf471…f666backed Yes | 4c | 5,518$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x315e…9b06backed Yes | 1c | 5,497$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 6c | 5,421$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.91 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Yes | 1c | 5,417$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.63 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 7c | 5,103$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…2af1backed Yes | 12c | 5,100$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…b3c8backed Yes | 6c | 5,072$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.