Music · resolved market
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e9392d31f3156e5855557ea36a72932a0cfc4a6855d69c34c4a174278434fc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,619,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,554,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,619,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 922,693$3,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.25 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6421backed Yes | 0c | 364,625$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 321,591$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.31 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 287,853$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.7 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 0c | 234,359$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.44 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…7211backed Yes | 0c | 177,772$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.31 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +272%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…3e58backed Yes | 0c | 171,667$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 0c | 169,103$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.09 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 113,673$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.51 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…b166backed Yes | 0c | 102,104$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.21 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…6983backed Yes | 0c | 77,032$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 0c | 71,822$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.82 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4089…99d5backed Yes | 0c | 44,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa1…7c65backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…32f9backed Yes | 0c | 33,700$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 0c | 33,025$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa719…0f74backed Yes | 0c | 30,821$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…efeabacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…83f0backed Yes | 0c | 26,580$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc130…83f7backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…b10ebacked Yes | 1c | 23,483$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 0c | 20,650$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d6d6backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…a410backed Yes | 0c | 19,146$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +296.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…3be1backed Yes | 0c | 18,883$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +414.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…543abacked Yes | 0c | 18,171$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…9820backed Yes | 0c | 16,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eda…1c80backed Yes | 0c | 12,150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…1127backed Yes | 0c | 11,800$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…4ef4backed Yes | 0c | 11,450$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…169bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,650$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…17c5backed Yes | 0c | 10,100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 1c | 10,035$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…06edbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 2cpaid | +491.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…7061backed Yes | 0c | 9,950$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…8b90backed Yes | 0c | 9,400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3441…3283backed Yes | 0c | 9,400$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 0c | 9,272$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfa…b205backed Yes | 0c | 9,200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 0c | 8,894$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…80f2backed Yes | 0c | 8,333$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…fab9backed Yes | 0c | 8,089$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30d…9362backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes | 0c | 7,661$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8d…0002backed Yes | 0c | 7,600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ea…ba53backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9b…7a04backed Yes | 0c | 6,800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649e…018ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf883…115cbacked Yes | 0c | 6,666$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f84…8d1dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,355$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…b148backed Yes | 0c | 5,967$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbe…d681backed Yes | 0c | 5,950$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f14…ec62backed Yes | 0c | 5,600$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…f2bcbacked Yes | 1c | 5,428$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…3ba2backed Yes | 1c | 5,428$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 5,193$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c31…b166backed Yes | 0c | 5,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…e4dabacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…69acbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…dd30backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503c…4574backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…bd03backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7c…22e5backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…9cf5backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…dfa0backed Yes | 0c | 4,750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…e7bebacked Yes | 0c | 4,750$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…2f11backed Yes | 0c | 4,564$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…a05bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…3a14backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa839…3e37backed Yes | 0c | 3,943$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf113…c3febacked Yes | 0c | 3,887$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca2…4273backed Yes | 0c | 3,880$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c71…cea3backed Yes | 0c | 3,833$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7945…1eeebacked Yes | 0c | 3,763$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be6…19c8backed Yes | 0c | 3,750$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…118ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,730$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a7…2b48backed Yes | 0c | 3,727$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ba…8571backed Yes | 0c | 3,710$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…8b90backed Yes | 0c | 3,707$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8b…1fb1backed Yes | 0c | 3,663$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c7…8fffbacked Yes | 0c | 3,617$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344c…a0b6backed Yes | 1c | 3,580$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5a…ea17backed Yes | 0c | 3,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…0aa7backed Yes | 0c | 3,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…6bfbbacked Yes | 0c | 3,527$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…b19bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,510$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e35…0d7fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,480$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…529ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,407$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb38…a674backed Yes | 0c | 3,407$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…8d3bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,397$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9faa…3776backed Yes | 1c | 3,350$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2624…699cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,189$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…0db1backed Yes | 1c | 3,040$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +174.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…4da7backed Yes | 0c | 3,015$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…991abacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 1cpaid | +1,751.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.