Music · resolved market
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd2ad2eb408df974df56ae9347baa13d7c156b3875e5c4556adbe2d19b2e4e86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,084,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,155,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,084,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 397,080$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.32 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…69acbacked Yes | 0c | 359,840$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.06 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 287,999$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.04 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c3…9089backed Yes | 0c | 249,355$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 224,037$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.01 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 1c | 187,485$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.42 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…ba79backed Yes | 0c | 170,409$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b46…1263backed Yes | 0c | 99,947$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 87,595$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.42 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 0c | 69,999$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 69,308$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.31 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…b166backed Yes | 0c | 50,365$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.09 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x549b…80dabacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 44,997$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3793…cf49backed Yes | 0c | 36,687$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 35,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…7585backed Yes | 0c | 33,220$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 1c | 27,550$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.75 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52fa…bbc5backed Yes | 0c | 25,705$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…9830backed Yes | 0c | 24,999$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 1cpaid | +1,134.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 20,406$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…f3a1backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5945…4c69backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cda…e01dbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3f…3706backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes | 0c | 19,897$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed Yes | 0c | 19,351$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…c71dbacked Yes | 0c | 19,282$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…aa0dbacked Yes | 2c | 15,639$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…0151backed Yes | 0c | 15,250$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +227%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x943f…43a7backed Yes | 1c | 14,286$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | +412.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…6b03backed Yes | 0c | 13,323$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 0c | 13,125$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…4ff2backed Yes | 0c | 12,775$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb69…4563backed Yes | 0c | 12,465$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…58babacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddb…9ffabacked Yes | 0c | 11,047$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b76…3a40backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a43…5374backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a87…c533backed Yes | 1c | 10,302$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca09…1b05backed Yes | 0c | 10,160$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c5…b611backed Yes | 0c | 10,150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x501b…5aebbacked Yes | 0c | 10,140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8226…0ea2backed Yes | 0c | 10,130$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cc…ff07backed Yes | 0c | 10,100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…9820backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +224.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d7…f58dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…62b2backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…dbc6backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…b78bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…c7f0backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…6fc9backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…efeabacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 0c | 9,952$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 9,446$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +202.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…991abacked Yes | 1c | 9,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 1cpaid | +1,751.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…424abacked Yes | 0c | 8,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 0c | 7,989$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 0c | 7,807$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x038d…d501backed Yes | 0c | 7,653$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…1284backed Yes | 0c | 7,625$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 0c | 7,542$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…a410backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +296.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 1c | 6,900$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…83f0backed Yes | 0c | 6,802$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 6,707$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…4ef4backed Yes | 0c | 6,450$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 0c | 6,038$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +173.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff3…8c08backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…944dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1df…9628backed Yes | 0c | 5,905$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…d199backed Yes | 0c | 5,795$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e90…1df3backed Yes | 1c | 5,691$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d7…e943backed Yes | 0c | 5,600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf883…115cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,555$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 1c | 5,345$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd662…aeb5backed Yes | 0c | 5,197$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,105$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +191.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 5,100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…8aa6backed Yes | 0c | 5,095$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 1cpaid | +4,445.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…aad7backed Yes | 0c | 5,056$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c7…e19dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,050$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…80f2backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…169bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,950$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 4,871$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…8f92backed Yes | 1c | 4,667$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x715c…6670backed Yes | 0c | 4,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…7061backed Yes | 0c | 4,250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe50…b05cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,961$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfa…b205backed Yes | 0c | 3,950$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 0c | 3,771$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 2c | 3,761$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…006cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,735$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.