TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x006a…d199

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 52 out of 100; worst Tweets at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT5944.1%26 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+931.5%+$298.64
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+114.3%+$22.86
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.86
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.43
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+96.6%+$25.78
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$29.11
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+163.2%+$19.35
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+65.6%+$20.13
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+44.9%+$17.48
LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+158.3%+$15.97
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+80.9%+$13.05
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+26.6%+$15.45
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$31
LoL: Shifters vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+483.5%+$104
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT5141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Falcons Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.32
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+766.4%+$245.25
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.89
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$29.12
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$17.72
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.84
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$53.08
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+234.9%+$68.13
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.46
Will Team Falcons win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO5) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.11
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$48.88
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15.33
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.66
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+138.1%+$14.15
Bucks vs. Warriorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.74
Bucks vs. Kingsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+46.6%+$5.25
All 4 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.