TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,805
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,843

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,805 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef26…07c0backed Under1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009016.7%15 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Under47c5,645$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,640.211,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Under50c4,029$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00018945.5%86 W · 103 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked Over54c2,552$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.5710445.2%47 W · 57 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Under7c2,500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.3418520.5%38 W · 147 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba0c…f837backed Over52c2,365$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.0821857.8%126 W · 92 L+18.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Under47c2,200$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.881,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed Over55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9007852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9721740.1%87 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Over49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76548448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Over49c1,433$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.9927447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over54c1,411$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.1385046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under49c1,322$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.6243148%207 W · 224 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Under74c1,300$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9601,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Under44c1,234$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.9682352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Under47c1,234$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.3625236.9%93 W · 159 L+1.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Over58c1,174$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.3711454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f81…5410backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10390%0 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Under42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd795…6fcdbacked Under20c999.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7931435.7%112 W · 202 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Under57c907.99$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.8248157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8d…556bbacked Over55c905.8$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.691566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Over77c859.99$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.1933251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed Over69c802.56$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.798560%51 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Over28c800$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5767869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed Under62c776.58$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.6929856.4%168 W · 130 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over52c700$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33644047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Under44c642.46$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.9278050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30076953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Over52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2883545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ff2…bfb4backed Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Over53c599.99$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9942148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Over57c561.75$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.5543151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Over65c531.18$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.482,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Over55c530$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.540347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over55c443$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.281,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c6…ff7dbacked Under47c327.28$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.0323023%53 W · 177 L-19.5wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Over64c313.73$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7363352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Under32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011653.4%62 W · 54 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a9e…1359backed Under46c306.1$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14210156.4%57 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Under80c250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Over69c240$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.41,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked Over69c239.99$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.472234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Over52c232.69$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6966445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a35…9015backed Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036943.9%162 W · 207 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under60c207.5$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.532345.8%148 W · 175 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x871e…6566backed Over77c201.73$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.57763.6%49 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Under57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11484050.1%421 W · 419 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.939750.1%199 W · 198 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Over40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12032752.9%173 W · 154 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Over47c190$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.21,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over74c165.55$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5944843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under26c152.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1521350.2%107 W · 106 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ee…a2b3backed Over55c141.82$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8211159.5%66 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Over50c129.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.391,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Under52c126.19$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2556317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Over56c117.47$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4750455%277 W · 227 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34f2…3bc2backed Under28c114.04$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1253047.5%252 W · 278 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed Over50c113.27$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0354343.6%237 W · 306 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over55c102.07$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.111,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97a6…159ebacked Over36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Over57c90.42$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2250643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Under58c90$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.219053.2%101 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Under47c86.36$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked Under23c85.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043138.1%164 W · 267 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over46c81.82$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.829348.4%45 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae72…f49dbacked Under46c74.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1938335%134 W · 249 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed Over25c74.06$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8628924.6%71 W · 218 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf459…7a53backed Over53c73.91$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7421655.1%119 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd185…e40bbacked Over80c72.73$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.824362.8%27 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15a7…9725backed Under35c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.79854.1%53 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f8…9908backed Under67c69.68$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over57c64.43$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.555860.3%35 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba48…907cbacked Over69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9798163.8%626 W · 355 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc57a…fe9fbacked Over55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5514044.3%62 W · 78 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over60c54.01$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8759952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed Under57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3079151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Over54c51.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8546846.8%219 W · 249 L-23.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8948…19b7backed Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204663%29 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Under47c45.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.41,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Under44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2076047%357 W · 403 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb99a…1300backed Under30c33.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Under64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c6b…a5d5backed Over57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.77771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x006a…d199backed Over55c29.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.055944.1%26 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1301…cd9abacked Under70c28.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.274247.6%20 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-25.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over54c26.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3253955.1%297 W · 242 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a5f…a8a0backed Over58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.861442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc440…922ebacked Over59c25.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.61666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49b2…f27ebacked Over53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Over57c23.39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.063040%12 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a2c…f983backed Under68c20.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.36157.4%35 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.41,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21e3…6e96backed Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe454…8b7dbacked Over61c18.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0318258.8%107 W · 75 L-10.5wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bb6…735cbacked Over62c16.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.311788.2%15 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.21per pick67cpaid+33.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.