TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karmine Corpof Natus Vincere, Karmine Corp
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$636,924
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$773,323

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $636,924 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 414 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x671f…328cbacked Natus Vincere8c107,002$8,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,848.476040%24 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed Karmine Corp56c58,150$32,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,374.8421448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbca…3b1ebacked Natus Vincere31c32,284$10,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,027.8510535.2%37 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Karmine Corp68c30,000$20,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,6004566.7%30 W · 15 L+9.9wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+56.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere32c24,262$7,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,668.571,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdacd…a083backed Natus Vincere32c23,575$7,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,536.23855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Natus Vincere32c16,302$5,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,138.4342840.2%172 W · 256 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Karmine Corp69c12,222$8,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,788.8141752.5%219 W · 198 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere41c11,121$4,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,608.221,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Natus Vincere33c11,096$3,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,671.721,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Karmine Corp69c10,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10016454.9%90 W · 74 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Karmine Corp76c8,504$6,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,016.4925952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Natus Vincere0c7,346$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3689810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2694…415abacked Natus Vincere1c7,320$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.781145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Karmine Corp69c7,254$5,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.3718961.4%116 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Karmine Corp69c6,904$4,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160.3334651.2%177 W · 169 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Karmine Corp69c6,416$4,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.555954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Natus Vincere32c6,317$2,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,007.0911150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Karmine Corp68c6,261$4,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,006.327735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Karmine Corp69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5502245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Natus Vincere45c4,407$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.6611454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Natus Vincere45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80026246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Natus Vincere46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8401,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Karmine Corp62c3,957$2,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.11,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Karmine Corp69c3,770$2,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.191,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x581d…2b06backed Natus Vincere31c3,500$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.9948035.4%170 W · 310 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere47c3,431$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.0195041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Natus Vincere15c3,305$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Karmine Corp68c3,201$2,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.59852%51 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd795…6fcdbacked Natus Vincere1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3031435.7%112 W · 202 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Natus Vincere39c2,768$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.921740.1%87 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Natus Vincere32c2,618$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.7749940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere30c2,466$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.842,22237.4%832 W · 1,390 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Natus Vincere50c2,324$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.4863161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Karmine Corp57c2,300$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.9917839.3%70 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Karmine Corp65c2,100$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.9916546.1%76 W · 89 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Natus Vincere32c2,074$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.7166843%287 W · 381 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked Karmine Corp69c2,066$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.4512360.2%74 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked Karmine Corp51c2,037$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.810445.2%47 W · 57 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccd7…181bbacked Natus Vincere31c2,020$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Natus Vincere43c1,996$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.3731644.3%140 W · 176 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Natus Vincere39c1,978$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.0343151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Karmine Corp66c1,953$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6641,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c7…2b66backed Natus Vincere15c1,948$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.259042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Natus Vincere29c1,942$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.751,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Natus Vincere18c1,771$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.9425038%95 W · 155 L+20.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Karmine Corp69c1,724$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.871136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Natus Vincere34c1,692$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.1713237.1%49 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed Natus Vincere13c1,625$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21035035.1%123 W · 227 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6310…2fd3backed Natus Vincere31c1,555$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Natus Vincere17c1,535$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.961,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb035…8364backed Natus Vincere31c1,520$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Karmine Corp67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5444047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed Karmine Corp69c1,490$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.93545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1702…fe81backed Karmine Corp77c1,472$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.432564%16 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Karmine Corp70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5770162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Natus Vincere31c1,400$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43485746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere30c1,400$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9946033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Karmine Corp69c1,399$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.5511542.6%49 W · 66 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Karmine Corp63c1,348$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.41,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Natus Vincere34c1,305$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.7132345.8%148 W · 175 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Natus Vincere20c1,282$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.831,05323.4%246 W · 807 L-76.9wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-50.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf27…7583backed Natus Vincere50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x535d…799dbacked Karmine Corp69c1,200$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x305c…0aefbacked Natus Vincere31c1,200$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Natus Vincere2c1,195$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.72147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick31cpaid+51.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Natus Vincere40c1,190$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.8626942.4%114 W · 155 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49a6…a658backed Natus Vincere36c1,174$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42850051.6%258 W · 242 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x395f…dcacbacked Natus Vincere49c1,163$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57526245.8%120 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked Natus Vincere51c1,113$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.246738.8%26 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Natus Vincere41c1,110$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.11,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c8b…627fbacked Natus Vincere31c1,100$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2422…0f00backed Karmine Corp69c1,100$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f25…21a4backed Karmine Corp72c1,062$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.072445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x474d…f599backed Natus Vincere31c1,060$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfc…5b51backed Karmine Corp69c1,060$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Karmine Corp68c1,053$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.0285046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e4…c882backed Karmine Corp69c1,050$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a6…46cfbacked Natus Vincere31c1,050$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked Karmine Corp68c1,048$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.21241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8da…a6e6backed Karmine Corp67c1,000$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.1712839.8%51 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3103,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a16…de20backed Karmine Corp61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39027455.8%153 W · 121 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Karmine Corp62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38011744.4%52 W · 65 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Karmine Corp68c970.85$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.6742735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Karmine Corp59c941.38$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.6636260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Natus Vincere15c940.43$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0623341.2%96 W · 137 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Karmine Corp66c907.89$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.9251160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Natus Vincere45c903.23$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.4518350.8%93 W · 90 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Karmine Corp69c892.75$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.7540933.7%138 W · 271 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Karmine Corp63c888.34$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.722,82041.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L-14.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a05…b10bbacked Natus Vincere33c807.7$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.54633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Karmine Corp65c806.25$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.2567763.4%429 W · 248 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Natus Vincere24c797.58$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19221141.2%87 W · 124 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cc2…a82dbacked Karmine Corp69c780$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6de4…805bbacked Karmine Corp69c775$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee9d…85f1backed Karmine Corp63c769.78$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.2313056.9%74 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9470…73e5backed Karmine Corp69c765$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Karmine Corp67c763$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.7939851.8%206 W · 192 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32f0…564cbacked Natus Vincere39c759.44$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.4336331.1%113 W · 250 L+0.7wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.